Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Chiefs               Coach  =   Tom Kincella          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.6143646    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 A Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 94.0)     6- 9   
 329 N Oswego                 NY B  Sec 3   ( 6-10, 83.2)    10- 9  o
 409 H Lake Shore Central     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 74.9)    18- 3   
 410 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 68.2)    16- 0   
 423 A Niagara Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (13- 6, 89.1)     5- 6   
 425 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   (13- 5, 88.6)     9-12   
 426 A Amherst Central        NY C  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 77.8)    16-10   
 428 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 80.3)    14- 7   
 430 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-10, 76.6)    10- 6   
 502 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-10, 73.1)    12- 3   
 503 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (15- 5, 93.4)     7- 9   
 508 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   ( 9- 5, 82.8)     9- 4   
 510 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 7-11, 79.0)    11- 5   
 512 H North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 70.1)    18- 0   
 514 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (10- 8, 82.7)    13-12 2o
 520 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (10- 8, 82.7)     4- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Webster Thomas          6- 9      -3    -6          n/a  
   329 N Oswego                 10- 9  o    1     4          n/a  
   409 H Lake Shore Central     18- 3      15    14           0.00
   410 H Grand Island           16- 0      16    21           0.00
   423 A Niagara Wheatfield      5- 6      -1    -2           1.17
   425 H Williamsville East      9-12      -3     0    -     -3.66
   426 A Amherst Central        16-10       6     9    -     -3.10
   428 H Williamsville North    14- 7       7     9    -     -2.00
   430 A Sweet Home             10- 6       4    10    ---   -6.00
   502 A Williamsville South    12- 3       9    13          -1.00
   503 A Hamburg                 7- 9      -2    -6    ++     4.46
   508 H East Aurora             9- 4       5     6          -1.47
   510 H Frontier               11- 5       6    10    --    -4.00
   512 H North Tonawanda        18- 0      18    19           0.00
   514 H West Seneca East       13-12 2o    1     6    --    -5.53
   520 H West Seneca East        4- 7      -3     6    ---   -9.53

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A Sweet Home             10- 6       4    10    ---   -6.00
   520 H West Seneca East        4- 7      -3     6    ---   -9.53
   510 H Frontier               11- 5       6    10    --    -4.00
   514 H West Seneca East       13-12 2o    1     6    --    -5.53
   329 N Oswego                 10- 9  o    1     4    -          
   425 H Williamsville East      9-12      -3     0    -     -3.66
   426 A Amherst Central        16-10       6     9    -     -3.10
   428 H Williamsville North    14- 7       7     9    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Hamburg                 7- 9      -2    -6    ++     4.46
   322 A Webster Thomas          6- 9      -3    -6    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.11 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.05 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/