Conf =  Dist-I                    Region = PA    Bicentl          
   Nickname = A Firebirds            Coach  =   Ryan Tessler          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.2086029    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 A St Mary's Annapolis    MD A  MIAA    (11- 6, 90.6)     7-17   
 326 A Kennett                PA    ChesMon ( 4-14, 79.3)     9- 1   
 327 A Council Rock North     PA    SubNat  ( 9- 9, 81.3)     5- 3   
 329 N Springside Chestnut Hi PA    IAC     ( 8-14, 83.7)     7- 6  o
 401 H Germantown Academy     PA    IAC     (11- 9, 85.5)     5- 6   
 403 A Neshaminy              PA    SubNat  ( 3-14, 72.5)    16- 3   
 409 H Abington               PA    SubNat  (15- 5, 90.5)     7- 8   
 417 H Downingtown East       PA    ChesMon (10-10, 88.7)    10- 7   
 419 H Garnet Valley          PA    Centrl  (15- 6, 92.5)    11-12  o
 421 H Montgomery             NJ 4  North   ( 4-13, 81.0)    12-13 2o
 424 A New Hope/Solebury      PA    Bicentl ( 3-15, 71.9)    15- 4   
 426 H Perkiomen Valley       PA    PAC-10  (13- 7, 88.7)    16-12   
 428 H Pennsbury              PA    SubNat  ( 6-12, 76.8)    17- 8   
 503 A Bishop Shanahan        PA    ChesMon (18- 3, 98.9)     5- 9   
 506 A Hatboro-Horsham        PA    SubCont (10- 9, 88.0)     8- 6   
 507 H Central Bucks South    PA    SubCont (10- 9, 86.2)    16- 7   
 510 A Owen J Roberts         PA    PAC-10  (16- 6, 91.3)    13-12   
 513 H West Chester Henderson PA    ChesMon ( 8-11, 83.8)    12- 6   
 515 A Central Bucks East     PA    SubCont (17- 5, 93.8)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A St Mary's Annapolis     7-17     -10    -1          n/a  
   326 A Kennett                 9- 1       8     9          -1.62
   327 A Council Rock North      5- 3       2     7    --    -5.64
   329 N Springside Chestnut Hi  7- 6  o    1     5          n/a  
   401 H Germantown Academy      5- 6      -1     5          n/a  
   403 A Neshaminy              16- 3      13    16           0.00
   409 H Abington                7- 8      -1     0          -0.56
   417 H Downingtown East       10- 7       3     1           1.63
   419 H Garnet Valley          11-12  o   -1    -2           1.39
   421 H Montgomery             12-13 2o   -1     9          n/a  
   424 A New Hope/Solebury      15- 4      11    17           0.00
   426 H Perkiomen Valley       16-12       4     1    +      2.58
   428 H Pennsbury              17- 8       9    13          -1.00
   503 A Bishop Shanahan         5- 9      -4    -9    ++     5.98
   506 A Hatboro-Horsham         8- 6       2     0           1.05
   507 H Central Bucks South    16- 7       9     3    ++     5.05
   510 A Owen J Roberts         13-12       1    -2    +      3.35
   513 H West Chester Henderson 12- 6       6     6          -0.26
   515 A Central Bucks East      9-10      -1    -4    +      3.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A St Mary's Annapolis     7-17     -10    -1    ---        
   401 H Germantown Academy      5- 6      -1     5    ---        
   421 H Montgomery             12-13 2o   -1     9    ---        
   327 A Council Rock North      5- 3       2     7    --    -5.64
   329 N Springside Chestnut Hi  7- 6  o    1     5    --         

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Bishop Shanahan         5- 9      -4    -9    ++     5.98
   507 H Central Bucks South    16- 7       9     3    ++     5.05
   426 H Perkiomen Valley       16-12       4     1    +      2.58
   510 A Owen J Roberts         13-12       1    -2    +      3.35
   515 A Central Bucks East      9-10      -1    -4    +      3.85
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.52 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.49 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    45
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/