Region = CO 5A DougCo           
   Nickname = O Falcons              Coach  =   Matt Bocklet          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.6221695    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 306 H Fairview               CO 5A FRange  ( 8- 7, 83.2)    13-11   
 308 A Lewis Palmer           CO 5A DougCo  ( 6- 9, 79.3)    13- 8   
 312 A Grandview              CO 5A Centenn ( 6- 9, 81.5)    11- 8   
 315 A Boulder                CO 5A FRange  ( 6- 9, 79.1)     8- 6   
 318 A ThunderRidge           CO 5A DougCo  ( 7- 8, 79.7)    13- 5   
 321 H Castle View            CO 5A DougCo  ( 8- 8, 82.5)     7- 8   
 325 A Rock Canyon            CO 5A DougCo  (11- 6, 88.5)     9- 7   
 327 H Denver East            CO 5A So-Sub  ( 7- 9, 81.9)     4- 8   
 401 A Pine Creek             CO 5A DougCo  ( 1- 9, 73.3)    15- 5   
 408 H Palmer                 CO 5A DougCo  (11- 5, 86.3)    12-13   
 415 H Mountain Vista         CO 5A DougCo  (14- 3, 95.4)     8-20   
 418 A Legend                 CO 5A DougCo  ( 4-11, 76.9)    11- 7   
 419 H Douglas County         CO 5A DougCo  ( 5-10, 76.3)    14- 8   
 422 H Chaparral              CO 5A DougCo  ( 9- 7, 88.9)    16-15  o
 502 A Wheat Ridge            CO 4A Foothil (14- 5, 92.5)    14-13   
 507 A Arapahoe               CO 5A Centenn (13- 6, 92.1)     8-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H Fairview               13-11       2     4    -     -2.22
   308 A Lewis Palmer           13- 8       5     6          -1.78
   312 A Grandview              11- 8       3     4          -1.54
   315 A Boulder                 8- 6       2     6    --    -4.92
   318 A ThunderRidge           13- 5       8     6           1.64
   321 H Castle View             7- 8      -1     4    --    -5.98
   325 A Rock Canyon             9- 7       2    -2    ++     4.41
   327 H Denver East             4- 8      -4     5    ---   -9.61
   401 A Pine Creek             15- 5      10    12           0.00
   408 H Palmer                 12-13      -1     1    -     -2.13
   415 H Mountain Vista          8-20     -12    -7    -     -2.02
   418 A Legend                 11- 7       4     9    --    -5.12
   419 H Douglas County         14- 8       6    11    --    -4.00
   422 H Chaparral              16-15  o    1    -1    +      2.40
   502 A Wheat Ridge            14-13       1    -6    +++    7.39
   507 A Arapahoe                8-16      -8    -6          -1.96

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Denver East             4- 8      -4     5    ---   -9.61
   315 A Boulder                 8- 6       2     6    --    -4.92
   321 H Castle View             7- 8      -1     4    --    -5.98
   418 A Legend                 11- 7       4     9    --    -5.12
   419 H Douglas County         14- 8       6    11    --    -4.00
   306 H Fairview               13-11       2     4    -     -2.22
   408 H Palmer                 12-13      -1     1    -     -2.13
   415 H Mountain Vista          8-20     -12    -7    -     -2.02

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Wheat Ridge            14-13       1    -6    +++    7.39
   325 A Rock Canyon             9- 7       2    -2    ++     4.41
   422 H Chaparral              16-15  o    1    -1    +      2.40
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.76 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.55 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    45
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/