Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colts                Coach  =   Nils Haugen           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.6227951    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 A Baldwin                NY A  Sec 8   ( 6- 9, 82.6)     6- 4   
 326 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 2, 99.9)     6-13   
 328 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 78.9)    13- 7   
 401 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 97.6)     7-11   
 403 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 84.2)    11- 4   
 409 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 91.3)     8- 5   
 411 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 93.5)    12-11  o
 416 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 91.5)     5- 4   
 422 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 88.0)    12-11   
 424 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 7, 93.9)     9-10   
 430 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 83.4)    11- 6   
 503 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 95.4)    11-16   
 506 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 83.9)    13- 8   
 508 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 94.2)     5-10   
 510 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 90.9)    11- 6   
 513 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 74.8)    18- 8   
 519 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 91.3)     3-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Baldwin                 6- 4       2     7          n/a  
   326 H Smithtown West          6-13      -7    -7           0.93
   328 A West Babylon           13- 7       6    11    --    -4.00
   401 H Smithtown East          7-11      -4    -5           1.64
   403 A William Floyd          11- 4       7     5           1.22
   409 H Northport               8- 5       3     0    +      2.29
   411 A Walt Whitman           12-11  o    1    -3    ++     4.46
   416 H Bay Shore               5- 4       1     0           0.52
   422 A Riverhead              12-11       1     2          -1.06
   424 A West Islip              9-10      -1    -3    +      2.84
   430 H Patchogue-Medford      11- 6       5     8    -     -3.54
   503 A Sachem North           11-16      -5    -5           0.37
   506 H East Islip             13- 8       5     8    -     -3.11
   508 A Ward Melville           5-10      -5    -4          -0.81
   510 A Half Hollow Hills East 11- 6       5     0    ++     5.86
   513 H Longwood               18- 8      10    17           0.00
   519 H Northport               3-15     -12     0    ---  -10.71

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 H Northport               3-15     -12     0    ---  -10.71
   322 A Baldwin                 6- 4       2     7    --         
   328 A West Babylon           13- 7       6    11    --    -4.00
   430 H Patchogue-Medford      11- 6       5     8    -     -3.54
   506 H East Islip             13- 8       5     8    -     -3.11

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Walt Whitman           12-11  o    1    -3    ++     4.46
   510 A Half Hollow Hills East 11- 6       5     0    ++     5.86
   409 H Northport               8- 5       3     0    +      2.29
   424 A West Islip              9-10      -1    -3    +      2.84
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.99 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.77 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/