Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Gordie Hodgson        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.2094650    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 318 H Plainedge              NY B  Sec 8   ( 7- 9, 80.4)    18- 7   
 327 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 87.2)     6- 9   
 328 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 80.7)    14- 7   
 401 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 81.2)    18- 4   
 403 A Deer Park              NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-15, 66.8)    20- 1   
 409 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 95.4)     5- 3   
 411 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 90.0)    11-12   
 416 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 94.2)     3- 9   
 422 A Hauppauge              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.8)    10- 5   
 425 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 71.0)    21- 8   
 501 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 78.7)     8- 6   
 503 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 78.9)    16- 7   
 506 A Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 68.2)    22- 4   
 508 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 7, 93.9)     2-12   
 510 H Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 91.0)     6-11   
 513 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (11- 5, 89.1)     8- 7   
 519 H Hauppauge              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.8)    19-10   
 521 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 95.4)     5- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Plainedge              18- 7      11    11          n/a  
   327 A Connetquot              6- 9      -3     2    --    -5.72
   328 H Lindenhurst            14- 7       7    11    -     -3.00
   401 H North Babylon          18- 4      14    10           0.00
   403 A Deer Park              20- 1      19    23           0.00
   409 H Sachem North            5- 3       2    -3    ++     5.54
   411 A Sachem East            11-12      -1     0          -0.91
   416 H Ward Melville           3- 9      -6    -2    -     -3.64
   422 A Hauppauge              10- 5       5     0    ++     4.90
   425 H Copiague               21- 8      13    20           0.00
   501 H Middle Country          8- 6       2    13    ---   -8.00
   503 H West Babylon           16- 7       9    12          -1.00
   506 A Brentwood              22- 4      18    21           0.00
   508 H West Islip              2-12     -10    -2    ---   -7.99
   510 H Half Hollow Hills West  6-11      -5     0    --    -5.86
   513 A Commack                 8- 7       1     0           0.15
   519 H Hauppauge              19-10       9     2    +++    6.95
   521 A Sachem North            5- 6      -1    -5    ++     4.48

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Middle Country          8- 6       2    13    ---   -8.00
   508 H West Islip              2-12     -10    -2    ---   -7.99
   327 A Connetquot              6- 9      -3     2    --    -5.72
   510 H Half Hollow Hills West  6-11      -5     0    --    -5.86
   328 H Lindenhurst            14- 7       7    11    -     -3.00
   416 H Ward Melville           3- 9      -6    -2    -     -3.64

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 H Hauppauge              19-10       9     2    +++    6.95
   409 H Sachem North            5- 3       2    -3    ++     5.54
   422 A Hauppauge              10- 5       5     0    ++     4.90
   521 A Sachem North            5- 6      -1    -5    ++     4.48
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.88 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.06 Local SOS Rank.............    28
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/