Conf =  4A                        Region = NC    Conf-03          
   Nickname = C Falcons              Coach  =   John Larkin           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.5239792    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 226 H Pinecrest              NC    Conf-03 ( 2-13, 75.2)    18- 4   
 228 A Apex                   NC    Conf-03 (19- 3, 95.9)     8-15   
 314 A Athens Drive           NC    Conf-03 (12- 5, 92.9)    10-11   
 321 H Fuquay-Varina          NC    Conf-03 ( 0-15, 67.8)    17- 3   
 324 H Cary HS                NC    Conf-03 ( 3-14, 73.1)    15- 2   
 325 A Panther Creek          NC    Conf-03 ( 9-11, 84.9)    12- 4   
 327 A Pinecrest              NC    Conf-03 ( 2-13, 75.2)    15- 3   
 408 H Apex                   NC    Conf-03 (19- 3, 95.9)     8-14   
 411 A Cary HS                NC    Conf-03 ( 3-14, 73.1)    11- 4   
 414 A Holly Springs          NC    Conf-03 ( 9- 9, 87.1)    19-13   
 417 H Cedar Ridge            NC    Conf-06 ( 7- 7, 80.4)    13- 9   
 421 A Middle Creek           NC    Conf-03 (16- 2, 94.9)     6-15   
 422 H Athens Drive           NC    Conf-03 (12- 5, 92.9)     7-12   
 424 H Middle Creek           NC    Conf-03 (16- 2, 94.9)     7-12   
 502 H Panther Creek          NC    Conf-03 ( 9-11, 84.9)     9- 7   
 503 H Holly Springs          NC    Conf-03 ( 9- 9, 87.1)     4- 9   
 505 A Fuquay-Varina          NC    Conf-03 ( 0-15, 67.8)    15- 4   
 507 H Heritage               NC    Conf-04 ( 6- 9, 82.0)    12- 8   
 509 A Wilmington Hoggard     NC    Conf-01 (13- 3, 89.2)    13-12   
 513 A Wakefield              NC    Conf-04 (10- 6, 86.9)    14-11   
 516 A Apex                   NC    Conf-03 (19- 3, 95.9)     9-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 H Pinecrest              18- 4      14    14           0.00
   228 A Apex                    8-15      -7    -7           0.87
   314 A Athens Drive           10-11      -1    -4    +      3.86
   321 H Fuquay-Varina          17- 3      14    21           0.00
   324 H Cary HS                15- 2      13    16           0.00
   325 A Panther Creek          12- 4       8     3    ++     4.85
   327 A Pinecrest              15- 3      12    12           0.00
   408 H Apex                    8-14      -6    -6           0.63
   411 A Cary HS                11- 4       7    14    -     -3.00
   414 A Holly Springs          19-13       6     0    ++     5.04
   417 H Cedar Ridge            13- 9       4     8    --    -4.87
   421 A Middle Creek            6-15      -9    -6    -     -2.16
   422 H Athens Drive            7-12      -5    -3          -1.38
   424 H Middle Creek            7-12      -5    -5           0.60
   502 H Panther Creek           9- 7       2     4    -     -2.39
   503 H Holly Springs           4- 9      -5     2    ---   -7.20
   505 A Fuquay-Varina          15- 4      11    20           0.00
   507 H Heritage               12- 8       4     7    -     -3.23
   509 A Wilmington Hoggard     13-12       1    -1    +      2.19
   513 A Wakefield              14-11       3     1           1.92
   516 A Apex                    9-11      -2    -7    ++     5.87

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Holly Springs           4- 9      -5     2    ---   -7.20
   417 H Cedar Ridge            13- 9       4     8    --    -4.87
   411 A Cary HS                11- 4       7    14    -     -3.00
   421 A Middle Creek            6-15      -9    -6    -     -2.16
   502 H Panther Creek           9- 7       2     4    -     -2.39
   507 H Heritage               12- 8       4     7    -     -3.23

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Panther Creek          12- 4       8     3    ++     4.85
   414 A Holly Springs          19-13       6     0    ++     5.04
   516 A Apex                    9-11      -2    -7    ++     5.87
   314 A Athens Drive           10-11      -1    -4    +      3.86
   509 A Wilmington Hoggard     13-12       1    -1    +      2.19
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.63 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.39 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    25
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    33
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/