Conf =  NWCIAC                    Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Dave Emery            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.3861847    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 A Avon HS                CT M          ( 9-11, 73.1)     7- 6   
 411 A Canton                 CT S          ( 3-13, 61.8)    15- 4   
 416 H Somers                 CT S          (16- 3, 83.5)    11- 9   
 417 A Ellington              CT S          ( 2-14, 61.1)    12- 3   
 419 A South Windsor          CT L          ( 7- 9, 73.0)     9-10  o
 422 A Suffield HS            CT S          ( 3-13, 64.7)    15-10   
 426 H Avon HS                CT M          ( 9-11, 73.1)    10- 6   
 429 H Canton                 CT S          ( 3-13, 61.8)    11- 4   
 502 A Somers                 CT S          (16- 3, 83.5)     6- 9   
 505 A Newington              CT L          ( 6-10, 70.2)     9- 4   
 508 H Ellington              CT S          ( 2-14, 61.1)    12- 6   
 515 H Suffield HS            CT S          ( 3-13, 64.7)    13- 7   
 519 A Hall-West Hartford     CT L          (12- 5, 81.0)     5-11   
 521 A Housatonic Valley      CT S          ( 7-10, 59.3)    15- 5   
 524 H Tolland                CT S          ( 6-10, 67.1)    16- 4   
 527 N Avon HS                CT M          ( 9-11, 73.1)    10- 3   
 529 N Somers                 CT S          (16- 3, 83.5)    11-10   
 604 H Weston                 CT S          (10- 9, 80.5)     7- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Avon HS                 7- 6       1     4    -     -3.84
   411 A Canton                 15- 4      11    16           0.00
   416 H Somers                 11- 9       2    -3    ++     5.81
   417 A Ellington              12- 3       9    16          -1.00
   419 A South Windsor           9-10  o   -1     4    --    -5.96
   422 A Suffield HS            15-10       5    13    --    -5.00
   426 H Avon HS                10- 6       4     6    -     -2.53
   429 H Canton                 11- 4       7    17    -     -3.00
   502 A Somers                  6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.50
   505 A Newington               9- 4       5     7    -     -2.75
   508 H Ellington              12- 6       6    18    --    -4.00
   515 H Suffield HS            13- 7       6    14    --    -4.00
   519 A Hall-West Hartford      5-11      -6    -3    -     -2.98
   521 A Housatonic Valley      15- 5      10    18           0.00
   524 H Tolland                16- 4      12    12           0.00
   527 N Avon HS                10- 3       7     5           1.32
   529 N Somers                 11-10       1    -4    ++     5.66
   604 H Weston                  7- 9      -2     0          -1.16

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A South Windsor           9-10  o   -1     4    --    -5.96
   422 A Suffield HS            15-10       5    13    --    -5.00
   508 H Ellington              12- 6       6    18    --    -4.00
   515 H Suffield HS            13- 7       6    14    --    -4.00
   409 A Avon HS                 7- 6       1     4    -     -3.84
   426 H Avon HS                10- 6       4     6    -     -2.53
   429 H Canton                 11- 4       7    17    -     -3.00
   505 A Newington               9- 4       5     7    -     -2.75
   519 A Hall-West Hartford      5-11      -6    -3    -     -2.98

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Somers                 11- 9       2    -3    ++     5.81
   529 N Somers                 11-10       1    -4    ++     5.66
   502 A Somers                  6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.50
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.80 Local Power Rank...........    34
 Local SOS Rating......... 43.42 Local SOS Rank.............    58
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    33
 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/