Conf = Shore Region = NJ 4 South Nickname = J Patriots Coach = Mike FerrandoGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.7229004 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 328 A Toms River East NJ 3 South ( 1-14, 63.6) 10- 0 331 A Middletown North NJ 3 North ( 5-14, 66.1) 16- 3 403 H Howell NJ 4 South ( 9- 9, 76.3) 9- 6 404 A Toms River South NJ 3 South ( 5- 9, 73.7) 5- 6 411 A Marlboro NJ 4 South ( 7-11, 72.3) 6- 7 o 412 H Red Bank Catholic NJ Grp-A (10- 8, 80.4) 6- 8 419 A Wall Township NJ 2 South (11- 5, 82.2) 10- 5 421 H Christian Bros NJ Grp-A (14- 4, 85.1) 6- 9 423 H Neptune NJ 2 South ( 1-12, 58.9) 18- 0 426 A Ocean Township NJ 2 South ( 7-10, 76.7) 5- 4 o 502 H Red Bank Regional NJ 2 South (14- 7, 80.7) 10- 9 506 A Manasquan NJ 1 South (11- 6, 80.2) 5- 9 507 A Jackson Liberty NJ 2 South ( 4-13, 69.6) 10- 6 512 A Long Branch NJ 2 South ( 0-20, 55.3) 18- 0 514 H Colts Neck NJ 3 South ( 9- 8, 77.0) 6- 5 516 A Eastern Regional NJ 4 South ( 6-13, 77.8) 7- 8 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A Toms River East 10- 0 10 15 0.00 331 A Middletown North 16- 3 13 12 0.00 403 H Howell 9- 6 3 5 - -2.19 404 A Toms River South 5- 6 -1 4 -- -5.90 411 A Marlboro 6- 7 o -1 6 --- -7.29 412 H Red Bank Catholic 6- 8 -2 1 - -3.09 419 A Wall Township 10- 5 5 -3 +++ 8.61 421 H Christian Bros 6- 9 -3 -3 0.54 423 H Neptune 18- 0 18 22 0.00 426 A Ocean Township 5- 4 o 1 1 -0.83 502 H Red Bank Regional 10- 9 1 0 0.21 506 A Manasquan 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.36 507 A Jackson Liberty 10- 6 4 8 -- -4.95 512 A Long Branch 18- 0 18 23 0.00 514 H Colts Neck 6- 5 1 4 - -3.49 516 A Eastern Regional 7- 8 o -1 0 -1.80UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 A Marlboro 6- 7 o -1 6 --- -7.29 404 A Toms River South 5- 6 -1 4 -- -5.90 507 A Jackson Liberty 10- 6 4 8 -- -4.95 403 H Howell 9- 6 3 5 - -2.19 412 H Red Bank Catholic 6- 8 -2 1 - -3.09 506 A Manasquan 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.36 514 H Colts Neck 6- 5 1 4 - -3.49OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 419 A Wall Township 10- 5 5 -3 +++ 8.61/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 80.04 Local Power Rank........... 89 Local SOS Rating......... 47.41 Local SOS Rank............. 168 Local RPI Rating......... 0.48 Local RPI Rank............. 107 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 52 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 63 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 5.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 6.0