Conf =  Bay State                 Region = MA 1  South            
   Nickname = A Flyers               Coach  =   Ed Moy                

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.5936432    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 A Acton Boxborough       MA 1  North   (21- 3, 99.0)     5-12   
 403 H Weymouth               MA 1  South   ( 4-13, 77.6)    14- 6   
 405 A Wayland                MA 2  CenEast (15- 6, 91.1)    11-10  o
 408 A Natick                 MA 1  South   ( 9- 9, 82.6)     6- 5   
 411 H Needham                MA 1  South   (18- 3, 97.5)     7-11   
 416 A Dedham                 MA 2  CenEast ( 2-17, 66.9)    15- 0   
 417 A Newton North           MA 1  South   (10- 9, 85.9)     6-10   
 422 H Dover                  NH 2          ( 6-11, 75.6)    15- 1   
 424 H Newton South           MA 1  South   ( 6-10, 80.3)    13- 6   
 426 H Foxborough             MA 2  CenEast (11-10, 83.5)     6- 7   
 429 A Milton                 MA 2  South   ( 7-11, 77.4)    12- 6   
 502 A Braintree              MA 1  South   (11- 8, 85.9)     6- 7   
 506 H Norwood                MA 2  South   ( 9-11, 82.1)    11- 6   
 508 H Walpole                MA 2  CenEast (11- 9, 87.6)     9- 3   
 510 H Shrewsbury             MA 2  MidWacA (20- 5, 94.7)     7- 6 2o
 513 A Wellesley              MA 1  South   (16- 5, 95.5)     3-11   
 515 H Brookline              MA 1  South   ( 5-13, 79.1)    10- 6   
 519 H Catholic Memorial      MA 1  South   (11- 9, 89.8)     7- 6   
 529 A Boston College HS      MA 1  South   (11- 9, 90.0)     4-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Acton Boxborough        5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00
   403 H Weymouth               14- 6       8    11    -     -2.00
   405 A Wayland                11-10  o    1    -3    ++     4.55
   408 A Natick                  6- 5       1     4    -     -3.93
   411 H Needham                 7-11      -4    -8    ++     4.75
   416 A Dedham                 15- 0      15    20           0.00
   417 A Newton North            6-10      -4     1    --    -5.65
   422 H Dover                  15- 1      14    13          n/a  
   424 H Newton South           13- 6       7     8          -1.44
   426 H Foxborough              6- 7      -1     5    ---   -6.27
   429 A Milton                 12- 6       6    10    --    -4.00
   502 A Braintree               6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.67
   506 H Norwood                11- 6       5     6          -1.70
   508 H Walpole                 9- 3       6     1    ++     4.85
   510 H Shrewsbury              7- 6 2o    1    -5          n/a  
   513 A Wellesley               3-11      -8    -7          -0.06
   515 H Brookline              10- 6       4     9    --    -5.64
   519 H Catholic Memorial       7- 6       1    -1    +      2.06
   529 A Boston College HS       4-11      -7    -2    --    -4.55

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Foxborough              6- 7      -1     5    ---   -6.27
   417 A Newton North            6-10      -4     1    --    -5.65
   429 A Milton                 12- 6       6    10    --    -4.00
   515 H Brookline              10- 6       4     9    --    -5.64
   529 A Boston College HS       4-11      -7    -2    --    -4.55
   403 H Weymouth               14- 6       8    11    -     -2.00
   408 A Natick                  6- 5       1     4    -     -3.93
   502 A Braintree               6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.67

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 H Shrewsbury              7- 6 2o    1    -5    +++        
   405 A Wayland                11-10  o    1    -3    ++     4.55
   411 H Needham                 7-11      -4    -8    ++     4.75
   508 H Walpole                 9- 3       6     1    ++     4.85
   328 A Acton Boxborough        5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00
   519 H Catholic Memorial       7- 6       1    -1    +      2.06
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.17 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.50 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    42
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    57
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    34
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/