Conf =  ECIAC                     Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Scott Hicks           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.3586655    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 410 H Ledyard                CT M          (13- 6, 76.0)     3-10   
 411 A Newington              CT L          ( 6-10, 70.2)     6-13   
 416 A Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 4-11, 63.8)     8- 6   
 419 H Stonington             CT S          ( 9- 8, 75.5)     7-14   
 422 H Norwich Free Academy   CT L          ( 4-12, 63.8)    16- 3   
 424 A Bacon Academy          CT S          (11- 7, 75.4)    12-13  o
 429 H East Lyme              CT M          (15- 4, 80.6)     6-13   
 503 A South Kingstown        RI 2  Div-2S  (13- 6, 79.9)    11-10   
 505 H Saint Bernard/Wheeler  CT S          ( 3-13, 56.5)    17- 8   
 508 H Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 4-11, 63.8)    19-10   
 509 H Montville              CT S          ( 0-14, 51.1)    18- 2   
 516 A Norwich Free Academy   CT L          ( 4-12, 63.8)    11-10   
 517 A Waterford              CT S          ( 5-11, 66.0)    17-10   
 520 H Bacon Academy          CT S          (11- 7, 75.4)    12-11  o
 522 A East Lyme              CT M          (15- 4, 80.6)     3-12   
 528 N Ledyard                CT M          (13- 6, 76.0)     7- 8  o
 604 A Joel Barlow            CT M          (12- 8, 84.8)     3-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Ledyard                 3-10      -7    -3    -     -3.45
   411 A Newington               6-13      -7     0    ---   -7.56
   416 A Woodstock Academy       8- 6       2     6    --    -4.97
   419 H Stonington              7-14      -7    -3    -     -3.97
   422 H Norwich Free Academy   16- 3      13     8           1.34
   424 A Bacon Academy          12-13  o   -1    -4    +      3.61
   429 H East Lyme               6-13      -7    -8           1.15
   503 A South Kingstown        11-10       1    -8          n/a  
   505 H Saint Bernard/Wheeler  17- 8       9    15          -1.00
   508 H Woodstock Academy      19-10       9     8           0.35
   509 H Montville              18- 2      16    21           0.00
   516 A Norwich Free Academy   11-10       1     6    --    -5.97
   517 A Waterford              17-10       7     4    +      2.25
   520 H Bacon Academy          12-11  o    1    -2    +      3.92
   522 A East Lyme               3-12      -9    -9           0.83
   528 N Ledyard                 7- 8  o   -1    -4    +      3.39
   604 A Joel Barlow             3-19     -16   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Newington               6-13      -7     0    ---   -7.56
   416 A Woodstock Academy       8- 6       2     6    --    -4.97
   516 A Norwich Free Academy   11-10       1     6    --    -5.97
   410 H Ledyard                 3-10      -7    -3    -     -3.45
   419 H Stonington              7-14      -7    -3    -     -3.97

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A South Kingstown        11-10       1    -8    +++        
   424 A Bacon Academy          12-13  o   -1    -4    +      3.61
   517 A Waterford              17-10       7     4    +      2.25
   520 H Bacon Academy          12-11  o    1    -2    +      3.92
   528 N Ledyard                 7- 8  o   -1    -4    +      3.39
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.61 Local Power Rank...........    55
 Local SOS Rating......... 43.43 Local SOS Rank.............    57
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    50
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    47
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.7
/