Region = NY A  Sec 4            
   Nickname = Y Express              Coach  =   Jason Stukey          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.9257812    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Chenango Valley        NY C  Sec 4   ( 4-11, 80.7)     6- 7   
 401 H Maine-Endwell          NY C  Sec 4   (14- 4, 98.1)     3-11   
 403 A Seton Catholic Central NY C  Sec 4   ( 8- 9, 86.4)     6- 5   
 405 H Johnson City           NY C  Sec 4   (14- 3, 97.7)     8-10   
 408 A Whitney Point          NY C  Sec 4   (12- 5, 93.3)     3-12   
 412 A Horseheads             NY B  Sec 4   ( 6- 9, 90.9)     3-19   
 415 H Watkins Glen           NY C  Sec 4   ( 0-11, 65.1)     6- 2   
 417 H Union-Endicott         NY B  Sec 4   ( 2-14, 80.9)     8- 5   
 423 H Owego Free Academy     NY C  Sec 4   ( 6-10, 84.9)     5- 9   
 426 A Chenango Valley        NY C  Sec 4   ( 4-11, 80.7)     7- 8   
 430 A Chenango Forks         NY C  Sec 4   (13- 6, 96.6)     1-16   
 502 A Oneonta                NY C  Sec 4   ( 5- 9, 83.5)     6-12   
 505 A Union-Endicott         NY B  Sec 4   ( 2-14, 80.9)     6- 9   
 507 A Dryden                 NY C  Sec 4   ( 5-11, 81.5)     5-13   
 508 A Johnson City           NY C  Sec 4   (14- 3, 97.7)     3-24   
 509 H Elmira-Notre Dame      NY C  Sec 4   ( 5-11, 82.4)    11-10   
 514 H Watkins Glen           NY C  Sec 4   ( 0-11, 65.1)    11- 2   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Chenango Valley         6- 7      -1     0          -1.29
   401 H Maine-Endwell           3-11      -8   -17    +      2.00
   403 A Seton Catholic Central  6- 5       1    -7    +++    8.79
   405 H Johnson City            8-10      -2   -16    +++    8.00
   408 A Whitney Point           3-12      -9   -14           1.00
   412 A Horseheads              3-19     -16   -12           0.00
   415 H Watkins Glen            6- 2       4    15    ---   -6.00
   417 H Union-Endicott          8- 5       3     0    +      2.92
   423 H Owego Free Academy      5- 9      -4    -3          -0.13
   426 A Chenango Valley         7- 8      -1    -2           1.12
   430 A Chenango Forks          1-16     -15   -17           0.00
   502 A Oneonta                 6-12      -6    -4          -1.05
   505 A Union-Endicott          6- 9      -3    -2          -0.67
   507 A Dryden                  5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.04
   508 A Johnson City            3-24     -21   -19           0.00
   509 H Elmira-Notre Dame      11-10       1    -1    +      2.37
   514 H Watkins Glen           11- 2       9    15          -1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Watkins Glen            6- 2       4    15    ---   -6.00
   507 A Dryden                  5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.04

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Seton Catholic Central  6- 5       1    -7    +++    8.79
   405 H Johnson City            8-10      -2   -16    +++    8.00
   401 H Maine-Endwell           3-11      -8   -17    +      2.00
   417 H Union-Endicott          8- 5       3     0    +      2.92
   509 H Elmira-Notre Dame      11-10       1    -1    +      2.37
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.79 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.42 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.37 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating.-70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5-12 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/