Conf =  WestMass                  Region = MA 2  Valley           
   Nickname = A Spartans             Coach  =   Dan Blinn             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.7955475    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H South Hadley           MA 2  Wheel   (13- 6, 89.0)     5-11   
 404 A Amherst-Pelham         MA 2  Wheel   ( 6-12, 77.4)     7- 8  o
 408 H Minnechaug             MA 2  Wheel   (11- 9, 86.6)     1-11   
 412 A Nipmuc Regional        MA 2  MidMass ( 4-14, 74.1)     8- 9  o
 422 H Westfield              MA 2  Wheel   (17- 4, 93.3)     0-15   
 424 H Belchertown            MA 3  Suburb  (12- 7, 73.1)    11- 6   
 429 A South Hadley           MA 2  Wheel   (13- 6, 89.0)     6-16   
 430 A West Springfield       MA 2  Valley  ( 3-15, 67.4)    18- 7   
 502 A Longmeadow             MA 2  Wheel   (21- 2, 99.9)     1-21   
 506 H Northampton            MA 2  Valley  ( 7-14, 79.0)     7- 9   
 507 A Agawam                 MA 2  Valley  (14- 5, 84.4)     3-10   
 509 H Mount Greylock         MA 2  Berkshr (20- 3, 89.3)    10-11   
 512 H Agawam                 MA 2  Valley  (14- 5, 84.4)     8-16   
 513 H Cathedral Springfield  MA 2  Valley  (12- 8, 80.9)    11-12   
 514 H Cathedral Springfield  MA 2  Valley  (12- 8, 80.9)     6- 9   
 515 A Northampton            MA 2  Valley  ( 7-14, 79.0)     6-11   
 517 A Brattleboro Union      VT 1  MVLI    (12- 5, 88.0)     6-10   
 520 H West Springfield       MA 2  Valley  ( 3-15, 67.4)    16- 3   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H South Hadley            5-11      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   404 A Amherst-Pelham          7- 8  o   -1    -3    +      2.59
   408 H Minnechaug              1-11     -10   -11           0.00
   412 A Nipmuc Regional         8- 9  o   -1     0          n/a  
   422 H Westfield               0-15     -15   -18           0.00
   424 H Belchertown            11- 6       5     1    +      3.09
   429 A South Hadley            6-16     -10   -15           0.00
   430 A West Springfield       18- 7      11     6    +      3.60
   502 A Longmeadow              1-21     -20   -26           0.00
   506 H Northampton             7- 9      -2    -3           1.96
   507 A Agawam                  3-10      -7   -10    +      3.00
   509 H Mount Greylock         10-11      -1   -14    +++    9.00
   512 H Agawam                  8-16      -8    -9           1.33
   513 H Cathedral Springfield  11-12      -1    -5    ++     4.83
   514 H Cathedral Springfield   6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.83
   515 A Northampton             6-11      -5    -5           0.18
   517 A Brattleboro Union       6-10      -4   -14          n/a  
   520 H West Springfield       16- 3      13     7    +      2.37

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H Mount Greylock         10-11      -1   -14    +++    9.00
   517 A Brattleboro Union       6-10      -4   -14    +++        
   403 H South Hadley            5-11      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   513 H Cathedral Springfield  11-12      -1    -5    ++     4.83
   404 A Amherst-Pelham          7- 8  o   -1    -3    +      2.59
   424 H Belchertown            11- 6       5     1    +      3.09
   430 A West Springfield       18- 7      11     6    +      3.60
   507 A Agawam                  3-10      -7   -10    +      3.00
   514 H Cathedral Springfield   6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.83
   520 H West Springfield       16- 3      13     7    +      2.37
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.43 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.81 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-15 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0-12 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3-13 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/