Conf =  GMC                       Region = NJ 4  North            
   Nickname = J Bears                Coach  =   Rory Murray           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.3291168    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A Shore Regional         NJ 1  South   ( 5-12, 72.2)     9- 8  o
 328 H Manasquan              NJ 1  South   (11- 6, 80.2)     4- 9   
 401 A Old Bridge             NJ 4  South   (15- 6, 83.5)     2- 5   
 403 H New Providence         NJ 1  South   (16- 5, 86.2)     4-11   
 405 H Colts Neck             NJ 3  South   ( 9- 8, 77.0)     2- 9   
 407 H J.P. Stevens           NJ 4  North   ( 7-10, 66.1)    16- 4   
 410 A Middletown South       NJ 3  South   ( 5-11, 67.4)    12- 4   
 412 A Hillsborough           NJ 4  North   ( 6-13, 81.1)     4- 9   
 417 A St Joseph Metuchen     NJ    Grp-A   (12-11, 84.2)     3-15   
 419 A St John Vianney        NJ    Grp-A   (10- 7, 80.0)     8-11   
 423 H Monroe Township        NJ 4  South   ( 8-12, 79.3)     3-15   
 424 H North Brunswick        NJ 4  North   ( 2-17, 63.3)    10- 1   
 426 H South Brunswick        NJ 4  South   (11- 7, 81.6)     6- 9   
 429 A Edison                 NJ 4  North   ( 3-15, 65.3)    15- 6   
 501 H Middletown North       NJ 3  North   ( 5-14, 66.1)    13- 5   
 502 A Hightstown             NJ 3  South   ( 4-12, 73.4)     4- 6   
 505 H Delaware Valley        NJ 1  South   (10-12, 78.8)     2- 8   
 507 A Monroe Township        NJ 4  South   ( 8-12, 79.3)     5-13   
 514 A Howell                 NJ 4  South   ( 9- 9, 76.3)     8-10   
 517 A Hunterdon Central      NJ 4  North   (11- 8, 87.6)     2-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Shore Regional          9- 8  o    1     0           1.51
   328 H Manasquan               4- 9      -5    -5           0.57
   401 A Old Bridge              2- 5      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   403 H New Providence          4-11      -7   -11    +      3.00
   405 H Colts Neck              2- 9      -7    -2    --    -4.59
   407 H J.P. Stevens           16- 4      12     8           1.46
   410 A Middletown South       12- 4       8     4    +      3.70
   412 A Hillsborough            4- 9      -5    -9    ++     4.42
   417 A St Joseph Metuchen      3-15     -12   -12           0.00
   419 A St John Vianney         8-11      -3    -8    ++     5.31
   423 H Monroe Township         3-15     -12    -4    --    -5.34
   424 H North Brunswick        10- 1       9    11          -1.00
   426 H South Brunswick         6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.99
   429 A Edison                 15- 6       9     6    +      2.65
   501 H Middletown North       13- 5       8     8          -0.49
   502 A Hightstown              4- 6      -2    -1          -0.25
   505 H Delaware Valley         2- 8      -6    -4          -1.84
   507 A Monroe Township         5-13      -8    -7          -0.37
   514 A Howell                  8-10      -2    -4    +      2.67
   517 A Hunterdon Central       2-12     -10   -15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Colts Neck              2- 9      -7    -2    --    -4.59
   423 H Monroe Township         3-15     -12    -4    --    -5.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Old Bridge              2- 5      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   412 A Hillsborough            4- 9      -5    -9    ++     4.42
   419 A St John Vianney         8-11      -3    -8    ++     5.31
   403 H New Providence          4-11      -7   -11    +      3.00
   410 A Middletown South       12- 4       8     4    +      3.70
   426 H South Brunswick         6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.99
   429 A Edison                 15- 6       9     6    +      2.65
   514 A Howell                  8-10      -2    -4    +      2.67
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.14 Local Power Rank...........   141
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.95 Local SOS Rank.............   126
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............   155
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    45
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   179
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.7
/