Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Brett Jeffares        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.9283676    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 H Sayville               NY B  Sec 11  (12- 6, 93.2)     6-10   
 318 A Islip                  NY B  Sec 11  (10- 7, 90.2)     6-11   
 327 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 90.9)     9- 6   
 328 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 2, 99.9)     7-14   
 401 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (11- 5, 89.1)    18- 9   
 403 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 97.6)     5-16   
 409 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 78.7)    16-11   
 411 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 91.3)    10-16   
 416 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 90.0)     3- 9   
 422 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 91.5)     9- 8   
 424 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 81.2)    19-10   
 501 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 7, 93.9)     8-12   
 502 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 80.7)    13- 7   
 506 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 95.4)     9-10   
 508 A Hauppauge              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.8)     6- 7   
 513 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 94.2)     5- 6   
 519 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 94.2)     7- 8  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Sayville                6-10      -4    -5           1.05
   318 A Islip                   6-11      -5    -3          -1.02
   327 H Half Hollow Hills East  9- 6       3    -2    ++     5.72
   328 A Smithtown West          7-14      -7   -13    +      3.00
   401 H Commack                18- 9       9     0    +++    9.90
   403 A Smithtown East          5-16     -11   -11           0.00
   409 H Middle Country         16-11       5     9    --    -4.47
   411 A Northport              10-16      -6    -5          -0.95
   416 A Sachem East             3- 9      -6    -3    -     -2.21
   422 A Bay Shore               9- 8       1    -5    +++    6.28
   424 H North Babylon          19-10       9     7           1.99
   501 H West Islip              8-12      -4    -5           1.70
   502 A Lindenhurst            13- 7       6     5           0.52
   506 H Sachem North            9-10      -1    -7    +++    6.23
   508 A Hauppauge               6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.59
   513 H Ward Melville           5- 6      -1    -6    ++     5.05
   519 A Ward Melville           7- 8  o   -1    -7    +++    7.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Middle Country         16-11       5     9    --    -4.47
   416 A Sachem East             3- 9      -6    -3    -     -2.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Commack                18- 9       9     0    +++    9.90
   422 A Bay Shore               9- 8       1    -5    +++    6.28
   506 H Sachem North            9-10      -1    -7    +++    6.23
   519 A Ward Melville           7- 8  o   -1    -7    +++    7.00
   327 H Half Hollow Hills East  9- 6       3    -2    ++     5.72
   513 H Ward Melville           5- 6      -1    -6    ++     5.05
   328 A Smithtown West          7-14      -7   -13    +      3.00
   508 A Hauppauge               6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.59
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.18 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.87 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.-70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    28
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/