Conf =  OSHLN1                    Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Northstars           Coach  =   Bill Aldrich          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.8264771    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A Binghamton             NY A  Sec 4   ( 6-10, 89.0)    12- 5   
 329 H Union-Endicott         NY B  Sec 4   ( 2-14, 80.9)    12- 3   
 401 H Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (18- 4, 96.4)     9- 6   
 403 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 6-11, 84.1)    11- 7   
 408 A Corcoran               NY A  Sec 3   (12- 6, 93.5)     7- 8   
 410 H Oswego                 NY B  Sec 3   ( 6-10, 83.2)    15- 9   
 415 H Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   (10- 6, 92.0)    10- 7   
 417 H Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 5-11, 78.9)    17- 1   
 423 A Henninger              NY A  Sec 3   ( 2-14, 72.9)    14- 7   
 424 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (11- 5, 93.5)     7-14   
 426 N Colonie Central        NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 9, 83.4)    15-12   
 501 A Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   ( 4-12, 77.3)    18- 4   
 506 A Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (18- 4, 96.4)     5-18   
 508 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (13- 6, 94.6)     5-11   
 513 H Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 6-11, 84.1)    22-11   
 520 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (11- 5, 93.5)     8-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Binghamton             12- 5       7     1          n/a  
   329 H Union-Endicott         12- 3       9    11          n/a  
   401 H Fayetteville-Manlius    9- 6       3    -3    +++    6.60
   403 A Liverpool              11- 7       4     6    -     -2.64
   408 A Corcoran                7- 8      -1    -2           1.67
   410 H Oswego                 15- 9       6     9    -     -3.56
   415 H Auburn                 10- 7       3     0    +      2.21
   417 H Rome Free Academy      17- 1      16    13           0.00
   423 A Henninger              14- 7       7    17    -     -3.00
   424 A Baldwinsville           7-14      -7    -2    --    -4.32
   426 N Colonie Central        15-12       3     8          n/a  
   501 A Central Square         18- 4      14    13           0.00
   506 A Fayetteville-Manlius    5-18     -13    -5    --    -4.40
   508 A West Genesee            5-11      -6    -3    -     -2.23
   513 H Liverpool              22-11      11     8           1.36
   520 A Baldwinsville           8-16      -8    -2    --    -5.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Baldwinsville           7-14      -7    -2    --    -4.32
   426 N Colonie Central        15-12       3     8    --         
   506 A Fayetteville-Manlius    5-18     -13    -5    --    -4.40
   520 A Baldwinsville           8-16      -8    -2    --    -5.32
   403 A Liverpool              11- 7       4     6    -     -2.64
   410 H Oswego                 15- 9       6     9    -     -3.56
   423 A Henninger              14- 7       7    17    -     -3.00
   508 A West Genesee            5-11      -6    -3    -     -2.23

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Fayetteville-Manlius    9- 6       3    -3    +++    6.60
   327 A Binghamton             12- 5       7     1    ++         
   415 H Auburn                 10- 7       3     0    +      2.21
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.79 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.71 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/