Conf = OSHLN1 Region = NY A Sec 3 Nickname = Y Northstars Coach = Bill AldrichGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.8264771 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 327 A Binghamton NY A Sec 4 ( 6-10, 89.0) 12- 5 329 H Union-Endicott NY B Sec 4 ( 2-14, 80.9) 12- 3 401 H Fayetteville-Manlius NY A Sec 3 (18- 4, 96.4) 9- 6 403 A Liverpool NY A Sec 3 ( 6-11, 84.1) 11- 7 408 A Corcoran NY A Sec 3 (12- 6, 93.5) 7- 8 410 H Oswego NY B Sec 3 ( 6-10, 83.2) 15- 9 415 H Auburn NY A Sec 3 (10- 6, 92.0) 10- 7 417 H Rome Free Academy NY A Sec 3 ( 5-11, 78.9) 17- 1 423 A Henninger NY A Sec 3 ( 2-14, 72.9) 14- 7 424 A Baldwinsville NY A Sec 3 (11- 5, 93.5) 7-14 426 N Colonie Central NY A Sec 2 ( 9- 9, 83.4) 15-12 501 A Central Square NY A Sec 3 ( 4-12, 77.3) 18- 4 506 A Fayetteville-Manlius NY A Sec 3 (18- 4, 96.4) 5-18 508 A West Genesee NY A Sec 3 (13- 6, 94.6) 5-11 513 H Liverpool NY A Sec 3 ( 6-11, 84.1) 22-11 520 A Baldwinsville NY A Sec 3 (11- 5, 93.5) 8-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 A Binghamton 12- 5 7 1 n/a 329 H Union-Endicott 12- 3 9 11 n/a 401 H Fayetteville-Manlius 9- 6 3 -3 +++ 6.60 403 A Liverpool 11- 7 4 6 - -2.64 408 A Corcoran 7- 8 -1 -2 1.67 410 H Oswego 15- 9 6 9 - -3.56 415 H Auburn 10- 7 3 0 + 2.21 417 H Rome Free Academy 17- 1 16 13 0.00 423 A Henninger 14- 7 7 17 - -3.00 424 A Baldwinsville 7-14 -7 -2 -- -4.32 426 N Colonie Central 15-12 3 8 n/a 501 A Central Square 18- 4 14 13 0.00 506 A Fayetteville-Manlius 5-18 -13 -5 -- -4.40 508 A West Genesee 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.23 513 H Liverpool 22-11 11 8 1.36 520 A Baldwinsville 8-16 -8 -2 -- -5.32UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 A Baldwinsville 7-14 -7 -2 -- -4.32 426 N Colonie Central 15-12 3 8 -- 506 A Fayetteville-Manlius 5-18 -13 -5 -- -4.40 520 A Baldwinsville 8-16 -8 -2 -- -5.32 403 A Liverpool 11- 7 4 6 - -2.64 410 H Oswego 15- 9 6 9 - -3.56 423 A Henninger 14- 7 7 17 - -3.00 508 A West Genesee 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.23OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 H Fayetteville-Manlius 9- 6 3 -3 +++ 6.60 327 A Binghamton 12- 5 7 1 ++ 415 H Auburn 10- 7 3 0 + 2.21/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 91.79 Local Power Rank........... 10 Local SOS Rating......... 71.71 Local SOS Rank............. 10 Local RPI Rating......... 0.56 Local RPI Rank............. 13 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 8 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 10 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -6.2 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.1 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.0