Region = NY C  Sec 4            
   Nickname = Y Blue Devils          Coach  =   Dave Pavlick          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.0031586    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A Elmira-Notre Dame      NY C  Sec 4   ( 5-11, 82.4)    16- 6   
 327 H Whitney Point          NY C  Sec 4   (12- 5, 93.3)    13- 8   
 401 H Dryden                 NY C  Sec 4   ( 5-11, 81.5)    18- 2   
 403 A Owego Free Academy     NY C  Sec 4   ( 6-10, 84.9)    12- 5   
 405 H Chenango Valley        NY C  Sec 4   ( 4-11, 80.7)    15- 5   
 410 H Seton Catholic Central NY C  Sec 4   ( 8- 9, 86.4)    19- 4   
 415 A Johnson City           NY C  Sec 4   (14- 3, 97.7)    11-13   
 417 A Dryden                 NY C  Sec 4   ( 5-11, 81.5)    16- 1   
 423 A Whitney Point          NY C  Sec 4   (12- 5, 93.3)    10-11   
 425 H Elmira-Notre Dame      NY C  Sec 4   ( 5-11, 82.4)    16- 4   
 430 H Elmira                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 5-12, 79.8)    16- 1   
 502 A Maine-Endwell          NY C  Sec 4   (14- 4, 98.1)     4- 8   
 505 H Vestal                 NY B  Sec 4   (15- 3, 99.9)     9-15   
 508 H Oneonta                NY C  Sec 4   ( 5- 9, 83.5)    16- 4   
 509 A Seton Catholic Central NY C  Sec 4   ( 8- 9, 86.4)     8- 9   
 515 H Seton Catholic Central NY C  Sec 4   ( 8- 9, 86.4)    17- 6   
 520 A Johnson City           NY C  Sec 4   (14- 3, 97.7)    15-11   
 522 N Maine-Endwell          NY C  Sec 4   (14- 4, 98.1)    11-10   
 528 N Cazenovia Central      NY C  Sec 3   (22- 1, 99.9)     4-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Elmira-Notre Dame      16- 6      10    12           0.00
   327 H Whitney Point          13- 8       5     4           0.52
   401 H Dryden                 18- 2      16    16           0.00
   403 A Owego Free Academy     12- 5       7    10    -     -3.00
   405 H Chenango Valley        15- 5      10    17           0.00
   410 H Seton Catholic Central 19- 4      15    11           0.00
   415 A Johnson City           11-13      -2    -2           0.39
   417 A Dryden                 16- 1      15    13           0.00
   423 A Whitney Point          10-11      -1     2    -     -3.07
   425 H Elmira-Notre Dame      16- 4      12    15           0.00
   430 H Elmira                 16- 1      15    17           0.00
   502 A Maine-Endwell           4- 8      -4    -2          -1.28
   505 H Vestal                  9-15      -6    -2    -     -3.87
   508 H Oneonta                16- 4      12    14           0.00
   509 A Seton Catholic Central  8- 9      -1     8    ---   -9.99
   515 H Seton Catholic Central 17- 6      11    11           0.00
   520 A Johnson City           15-11       4    -2    +++    6.39
   522 N Maine-Endwell          11-10       1    -1    +      2.51
   528 N Cazenovia Central       4-16     -12    -3          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Seton Catholic Central  8- 9      -1     8    ---   -9.99
   528 N Cazenovia Central       4-16     -12    -3    ---        
   403 A Owego Free Academy     12- 5       7    10    -     -3.00
   423 A Whitney Point          10-11      -1     2    -     -3.07
   505 H Vestal                  9-15      -6    -2    -     -3.87

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   520 A Johnson City           15-11       4    -2    +++    6.39
   522 N Maine-Endwell          11-10       1    -1    +      2.51
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.56 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.99 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    8.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.185.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/