Conf =  Merrimack                 Region = MA 1  North            
   Nickname = A Lions                Coach  =   Tom Gallagher         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.2516785    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Haverhill              MA 1  North   ( 3-15, 70.7)     8- 1   
 404 H Billerica              MA 1  North   (12-10, 87.5)     5- 9   
 408 A Dracut                 MA 2  North   ( 9-11, 78.1)     1- 0   
 411 A Andover HS             MA 1  North   (16- 7, 91.6)     0-16   
 414 H Central Catholic       MA 1  North   (13- 7, 84.6)     7-12   
 417 A North Andover          MA 1  North   (15- 7, 89.1)     3-12   
 419 H Triton Regional        MA 3  North   (10- 9, 82.2)     4-11   
 422 H Malden Catholic        MA 2  North   ( 6-14, 79.1)    13- 3   
 424 H Arlington              MA 2  CenEast ( 3-15, 74.3)    10- 7   
 426 A South Hadley           MA 2  Wheel   (13- 6, 89.0)     8-10   
 428 H Salem                  MA 1  North   (12- 9, 79.7)     6- 7 2o
 430 A Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2  North   (13- 8, 83.2)     8-10   
 502 A Billerica              MA 1  North   (12-10, 87.5)     5-10   
 505 H Andover HS             MA 1  North   (16- 7, 91.6)     1-15   
 507 H Lowell                 MA 1  North   ( 7-11, 76.4)    12- 2   
 509 A Peabody                MA 1  North   ( 3-14, 73.4)     7- 6  o
 512 H North Andover          MA 1  North   (15- 7, 89.1)     0- 8   
 514 H Catholic Memorial      MA 1  South   (11- 9, 89.8)     6-12   
 519 H Xaverian Bros          MA 1  South   (18- 4, 96.1)     3-16   
 521 A Waltham                MA 1  North   ( 5-11, 80.6)     7- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Haverhill               8- 1       7     8          -1.12
   404 H Billerica               5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.62
   411 A Andover HS              0-16     -16   -13           0.00
   414 H Central Catholic        7-12      -5    -5           0.80
   417 A North Andover           3-12      -9   -11           1.00
   419 H Triton Regional         4-11      -7    -3    -     -3.61
   422 H Malden Catholic        13- 3      10     0    +++   10.28
   424 H Arlington              10- 7       3     4          -1.58
   426 A South Hadley            8-10      -2   -11          n/a  
   428 H Salem                   6- 7 2o   -1     0          -0.15
   430 A Tewksbury Memorial      8-10      -2    -5    +      3.49
   502 A Billerica               5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.80
   505 H Andover HS              1-15     -14   -12           0.00
   507 H Lowell                 12- 2      10     2    +++    7.58
   509 A Peabody                 7- 6  o    1     4    -     -3.27
   512 H North Andover           0- 8      -8   -10    +      2.00
   514 H Catholic Memorial       6-12      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   519 H Xaverian Bros           3-16     -13   -17           0.00
   521 A Waltham                 7- 8      -1    -2           1.97

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Triton Regional         4-11      -7    -3    -     -3.61
   509 A Peabody                 7- 6  o    1     4    -     -3.27

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Malden Catholic        13- 3      10     0    +++   10.28
   426 A South Hadley            8-10      -2   -11    +++        
   507 H Lowell                 12- 2      10     2    +++    7.58
   404 H Billerica               5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.62
   502 A Billerica               5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.80
   514 H Catholic Memorial       6-12      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   430 A Tewksbury Memorial      8-10      -2    -5    +      3.49
   512 H North Andover           0- 8      -8   -10    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.26 Local Power Rank...........    81
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.85 Local SOS Rank.............    41
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............   101
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    45
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   118
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.7
/