Region = AZ 1  Div-1            
   Nickname = Z Falcons              Coach  =   Bake Shaffer          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.6392670    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 H Desert Vista II        AZ 1  Div-1   (12- 4, 78.7)     6-10   
 305 H Sabino                 AZ 1  Div-1   (13- 3, 86.6)     4-17   
 308 A Desert Vista           AZ 1  Div-1   (19- 0, 99.9)     0-21   
 308 N Northern Arizona       AZ 1  Div-1   ( 0-14, 51.3)    21- 0   
 312 A Corona del Sol         AZ 1  Div-1   (10- 6, 81.5)    14-20   
 315 A Boulder Creek          AZ 1  Div-1   ( 9- 6, 78.9)     6-15   
 319 H Highland-East Valley   AZ 1  Div-1   ( 1-13, 55.0)    18- 3   
 322 H Chaparral              AZ 1  Div-1   ( 7-10, 80.3)    13-17   
 325 A Salpointe Catholic     AZ 1  Div-1   (10- 6, 83.5)     5-19   
 327 A Saguaro                AZ 1  Div-1   ( 6- 8, 70.2)    11-12   
 412 H Notre Dame Prep        AZ 1  Div-1   (12- 4, 80.0)     7-15   
 415 A Brophy Prep            AZ 1  Div-1   (16- 5, 92.2)     3-20   
 419 H Desert Mountain        AZ 1  Div-1   ( 4-10, 68.2)    13- 6   
 426 H Brophy Prep II         AZ 1  Div-1   ( 2-13, 64.1)    15-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Desert Vista II         6-10      -4    -8    ++     4.04
   305 H Sabino                  4-17     -13   -15           0.00
   308 A Desert Vista            0-21     -21   -30           0.00
   308 N Northern Arizona       21- 0      21    18           0.00
   312 A Corona del Sol         14-20      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   315 A Boulder Creek           6-15      -9    -9           0.11
   319 H Highland-East Valley   18- 3      15    15           0.00
   322 H Chaparral              13-17      -4    -9    ++     5.61
   325 A Salpointe Catholic      5-19     -14   -13           0.00
   327 A Saguaro                11-12      -1     0          -0.60
   412 H Notre Dame Prep         7-15      -8    -9           1.38
   415 A Brophy Prep             3-20     -17   -22           0.00
   419 H Desert Mountain        13- 6       7     2    ++     4.58
   426 H Brophy Prep II         15-12       3     6    -     -3.57

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Brophy Prep II         15-12       3     6    -     -3.57

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Desert Vista II         6-10      -4    -8    ++     4.04
   312 A Corona del Sol         14-20      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   322 H Chaparral              13-17      -4    -9    ++     5.61
   419 H Desert Mountain        13- 6       7     2    ++     4.58
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.21 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.83 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -16.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/