Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Craig Kemmlein        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.7955856    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 A Bishop McDevitt        PA    Mid 1   ( 2-14, 73.1)    12-11  o
 324 A Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (20- 4, 97.4)     2-19   
 327 A Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb ( 0-16, 68.2)    10- 4   
 401 H Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb ( 8-10, 81.3)    10-12   
 402 H Lancaster Mennonite    PA    Lan-Leb ( 3-14, 69.0)    17- 1   
 404 A Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb (11- 8, 85.6)     6-12   
 410 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    Lan-Leb ( 8- 8, 83.7)    10-13   
 411 H Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   ( 9- 9, 84.8)     9-11   
 412 A Trinity HS             PA    Mid 1   (14- 4, 92.8)     2-17   
 415 H Lancaster Cou Day      PA    Lan-Leb ( 5-12, 73.5)    12- 9   
 416 A Elizabethtown          PA    Lan-Leb ( 9- 9, 83.2)     2-14   
 417 H Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (18- 4, 95.7)     4-18   
 421 A Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid 1   ( 7- 9, 83.6)     3-18   
 423 A Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb (14- 7, 91.6)     4-18   
 426 H Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   (10- 6, 86.5)     8-12   
 428 H Conestoga Valley       PA    Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 72.4)    16-13   
 501 H Warwick                PA    Lan-Leb (12- 8, 88.9)     6-17   
 506 H Mechanicsburg          PA    Mid 1   ( 2-15, 70.4)    17- 4   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Bishop McDevitt        12-11  o    1     3    -     -2.07
   324 A Manheim Township        2-19     -17   -21           0.00
   327 A Garden Spot            10- 4       6     8    -     -2.03
   401 H Cocalico               10-12      -2    -3           1.46
   402 H Lancaster Mennonite    17- 1      16     8           1.11
   404 A Penn Manor              6-12      -6    -9    +      3.40
   410 A Lampeter-Strasburg     10-13      -3    -7    ++     4.51
   411 H Palmyra                 9-11      -2    -6    ++     4.93
   412 A Trinity HS              2-17     -15   -16           0.00
   415 H Lancaster Cou Day      12- 9       3     4          -1.32
   416 A Elizabethtown           2-14     -12    -6    -     -3.03
   417 H Hempfield               4-18     -14   -17           0.00
   421 A Lower Dauphin           3-18     -15    -7    -     -2.62
   423 A Ephrata                 4-18     -14   -15           0.00
   426 H Central Dauphin         8-12      -4    -8    ++     4.65
   428 H Conestoga Valley       16-13       3     5    -     -2.44
   501 H Warwick                 6-17     -11   -11           0.00
   506 H Mechanicsburg          17- 4      13     7    +      2.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Bishop McDevitt        12-11  o    1     3    -     -2.07
   327 A Garden Spot            10- 4       6     8    -     -2.03
   416 A Elizabethtown           2-14     -12    -6    -     -3.03
   421 A Lower Dauphin           3-18     -15    -7    -     -2.62
   428 H Conestoga Valley       16-13       3     5    -     -2.44

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Lampeter-Strasburg     10-13      -3    -7    ++     4.51
   411 H Palmyra                 9-11      -2    -6    ++     4.93
   426 H Central Dauphin         8-12      -4    -8    ++     4.65
   404 A Penn Manor              6-12      -6    -9    +      3.40
   506 H Mechanicsburg          17- 4      13     7    +      2.59
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.02 Local Power Rank...........    40
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.85 Local SOS Rank.............    42
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    42
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    42
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/