Conf = Dist-III Region = PA Lan-Leb Nickname = A Falcons Coach = Craig KemmleinGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 82.7955856 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Bishop McDevitt PA Mid 1 ( 2-14, 73.1) 12-11 o 324 A Manheim Township PA Lan-Leb (20- 4, 97.4) 2-19 327 A Garden Spot PA Lan-Leb ( 0-16, 68.2) 10- 4 401 H Cocalico PA Lan-Leb ( 8-10, 81.3) 10-12 402 H Lancaster Mennonite PA Lan-Leb ( 3-14, 69.0) 17- 1 404 A Penn Manor PA Lan-Leb (11- 8, 85.6) 6-12 410 A Lampeter-Strasburg PA Lan-Leb ( 8- 8, 83.7) 10-13 411 H Palmyra PA Mid 1 ( 9- 9, 84.8) 9-11 412 A Trinity HS PA Mid 1 (14- 4, 92.8) 2-17 415 H Lancaster Cou Day PA Lan-Leb ( 5-12, 73.5) 12- 9 416 A Elizabethtown PA Lan-Leb ( 9- 9, 83.2) 2-14 417 H Hempfield PA Lan-Leb (18- 4, 95.7) 4-18 421 A Lower Dauphin PA Mid 1 ( 7- 9, 83.6) 3-18 423 A Ephrata PA Lan-Leb (14- 7, 91.6) 4-18 426 H Central Dauphin PA Mid 1 (10- 6, 86.5) 8-12 428 H Conestoga Valley PA Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 72.4) 16-13 501 H Warwick PA Lan-Leb (12- 8, 88.9) 6-17 506 H Mechanicsburg PA Mid 1 ( 2-15, 70.4) 17- 4PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A Bishop McDevitt 12-11 o 1 3 - -2.07 324 A Manheim Township 2-19 -17 -21 0.00 327 A Garden Spot 10- 4 6 8 - -2.03 401 H Cocalico 10-12 -2 -3 1.46 402 H Lancaster Mennonite 17- 1 16 8 1.11 404 A Penn Manor 6-12 -6 -9 + 3.40 410 A Lampeter-Strasburg 10-13 -3 -7 ++ 4.51 411 H Palmyra 9-11 -2 -6 ++ 4.93 412 A Trinity HS 2-17 -15 -16 0.00 415 H Lancaster Cou Day 12- 9 3 4 -1.32 416 A Elizabethtown 2-14 -12 -6 - -3.03 417 H Hempfield 4-18 -14 -17 0.00 421 A Lower Dauphin 3-18 -15 -7 - -2.62 423 A Ephrata 4-18 -14 -15 0.00 426 H Central Dauphin 8-12 -4 -8 ++ 4.65 428 H Conestoga Valley 16-13 3 5 - -2.44 501 H Warwick 6-17 -11 -11 0.00 506 H Mechanicsburg 17- 4 13 7 + 2.59UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A Bishop McDevitt 12-11 o 1 3 - -2.07 327 A Garden Spot 10- 4 6 8 - -2.03 416 A Elizabethtown 2-14 -12 -6 - -3.03 421 A Lower Dauphin 3-18 -15 -7 - -2.62 428 H Conestoga Valley 16-13 3 5 - -2.44OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Lampeter-Strasburg 10-13 -3 -7 ++ 4.51 411 H Palmyra 9-11 -2 -6 ++ 4.93 426 H Central Dauphin 8-12 -4 -8 ++ 4.65 404 A Penn Manor 6-12 -6 -9 + 3.40 506 H Mechanicsburg 17- 4 13 7 + 2.59/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 77.02 Local Power Rank........... 40 Local SOS Rating......... 62.85 Local SOS Rank............. 42 Local RPI Rating......... 0.43 Local RPI Rank............. 42 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 14 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 42 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-12 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -4.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -15.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -15.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -12.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7