Conf =  D2                        Region = CA    NCLA-S           
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Bob Hummel            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.1258240    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 222 N South Valley           CA    NCLA-W  ( 7- 7, 87.6)    11-17   
 222 N Galena                 NV    HSLL    (17- 6, 81.5)    11- 4   
 222 N Redding                CA    NCLA-N  ( 1-10, 72.1)    14- 5   
 228 H Sierra Foothills       CA    NCLA-N  ( 1- 9, 69.4)    16- 0   
 301 A Pleasant Grove         CA    NCLA-S  ( 2-12, 73.2)    15- 4   
 307 A Gold Country           CA    NCLA-N  ( 9- 6, 86.0)     9- 5   
 308 H Yuba City              CA    NCLA-N  ( 3-11, 75.6)     9- 4   
 314 A Elk Grove              CA    NCLA-S  (15- 3, 92.8)     3- 9   
 315 H Pleasant Grove         CA    NCLA-S  ( 2-12, 73.2)    11- 4   
 321 H Woodcreek              CA    NCLA-S  ( 5-10, 79.6)    10- 9   
 322 H Chico                  CA    NCLA-N  (10- 4, 94.8)     5-14   
 328 H Stockton               CA    NCLA-S  ( 7- 6, 81.2)    10- 6   
 329 A Casa Grande            CA    NCLA-W  (21- 2, 99.9)     3-16   
 404 H Gold Country           CA    NCLA-N  ( 9- 6, 86.0)     8-12   
 405 H Petaluma               CA    NCLA-W  (18- 3, 97.9)     4-18   
 426 A Woodcreek              CA    NCLA-S  ( 5-10, 79.6)    10- 7   
 503 A Casa Grande            CA    NCLA-W  (21- 2, 99.9)     8-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 N South Valley           11-17      -6    -2    -     -3.46
   222 N Galena                 11- 4       7     3          n/a  
   222 N Redding                14- 5       9    12          -1.00
   228 H Sierra Foothills       16- 0      16    16           0.00
   301 A Pleasant Grove         15- 4      11    10           0.00
   307 A Gold Country            9- 5       4    -2    +++    6.02
   308 H Yuba City               9- 4       5    10    --    -5.00
   314 A Elk Grove               3- 9      -6    -8    +      2.84
   315 H Pleasant Grove         11- 4       7    12    -     -3.00
   321 H Woodcreek              10- 9       1     6    --    -5.63
   322 H Chico                   5-14      -9    -8          -0.37
   328 H Stockton               10- 6       4     4          -0.98
   329 A Casa Grande             3-16     -13   -15           0.00
   404 H Gold Country            8-12      -4     0    --    -4.26
   405 H Petaluma                4-18     -14   -11           0.00
   426 A Woodcreek              10- 7       3     4          -1.35
   503 A Casa Grande             8-15      -7   -15    +      3.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 H Yuba City               9- 4       5    10    --    -5.00
   321 H Woodcreek              10- 9       1     6    --    -5.63
   404 H Gold Country            8-12      -4     0    --    -4.26
   222 N South Valley           11-17      -6    -2    -     -3.46
   315 H Pleasant Grove         11- 4       7    12    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Gold Country            9- 5       4    -2    +++    6.02
   222 N Galena                 11- 4       7     3    +          
   314 A Elk Grove               3- 9      -6    -8    +      2.84
   503 A Casa Grande             8-15      -7   -15    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.07 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.58 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.0
/