Conf =  2A                        Region = NC    Conf-05          
   Nickname = C Jaguars              Coach  =   Ron Mitchell          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.0503387    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 A Northwood              NC    Conf-06 ( 8- 8, 77.1)     9- 3   
 311 A J.F. Webb              NC    Conf-06 ( 2-12, 66.7)    15- 1   
 314 H Northern Durham        NC    Conf-05 ( 2-11, 71.0)    12- 7   
 321 H Durham Jordan          NC    Conf-05 (12- 7, 88.6)     5-12   
 324 A Durham Riverside       NC    Conf-05 ( 7- 8, 83.6)     7-14   
 327 A Roxboro Community Sch  NC    Conf-05 ( 7-10, 76.4)    11- 5   
 409 H East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (16- 4, 92.7)     1-11   
 411 A Durham Jordan          NC    Conf-05 (12- 7, 88.6)     3-10   
 416 H Eastern Alamance       NC    Conf-07 (10- 8, 77.2)    10- 2   
 418 H Hillsborough Orange    NC    Conf-06 ( 7- 8, 74.2)    13- 4   
 423 H Durham Riverside       NC    Conf-05 ( 7- 8, 83.6)    10-12   
 425 H Roxboro Community Sch  NC    Conf-05 ( 7-10, 76.4)     4- 0   
 502 A East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (16- 4, 92.7)     1-11   
 505 A Northern Durham        NC    Conf-05 ( 2-11, 71.0)     6- 7  o
 513 H Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-06 (12- 7, 86.7)     1- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Northwood               9- 3       6     2    +      3.17
   311 A J.F. Webb              15- 1      14    13           0.00
   314 H Northern Durham        12- 7       5    10    --    -5.00
   321 H Durham Jordan           5-12      -7    -7           0.43
   324 A Durham Riverside        7-14      -7    -3    -     -3.38
   327 A Roxboro Community Sch  11- 5       6     3    +      2.44
   409 H East Chapel Hill        1-11     -10   -11           0.00
   411 A Durham Jordan           3-10      -7    -8           1.68
   416 H Eastern Alamance       10- 2       8     3    ++     4.00
   418 H Hillsborough Orange    13- 4       9     6    +      2.00
   423 H Durham Riverside       10-12      -2    -2           0.37
   425 H Roxboro Community Sch   4- 0       4     4          -0.81
   502 A East Chapel Hill        1-11     -10   -12           0.00
   505 A Northern Durham         6- 7  o   -1     8    ---   -9.93
   513 H Chapel Hill             1- 7      -6    -5          -0.49

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A Northern Durham         6- 7  o   -1     8    ---   -9.93
   314 H Northern Durham        12- 7       5    10    --    -5.00
   324 A Durham Riverside        7-14      -7    -3    -     -3.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Eastern Alamance       10- 2       8     3    ++     4.00
   228 A Northwood               9- 3       6     2    +      3.17
   327 A Roxboro Community Sch  11- 5       6     3    +      2.44
   418 H Hillsborough Orange    13- 4       9     6    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.56 Local Power Rank...........    43
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.07 Local SOS Rank.............    41
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    46
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    17
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    42
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7
/