Region = GA 5A Area03           
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Russ Armistead        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.6911621    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 222 H South Forsyth          GA 6A Area03  ( 8- 9, 83.4)    10- 8   
 225 H Creekview              GA 5A Area02  ( 5- 9, 75.6)    12- 6   
 228 H Gainesville            GA 5A Area03  ( 4-11, 68.0)    17- 0   
 303 A Buford                 GA 5A Area03  ( 8- 9, 76.6)    13- 2   
 307 A West Forsyth           GA 6A Area03  ( 7-10, 84.9)     8-11   
 311 A Woodstock              GA 6A Area02  (11- 7, 90.3)     9-12   
 313 H Cherokee               GA 6A Area02  ( 4-12, 73.2)    18- 2   
 314 H North Springs          GA 5A Area03  ( 7-11, 77.6)    13- 3   
 318 A Gr.Atlanta Christian   GA 5A Area03  (14- 6, 90.7)     4-10   
 321 A Riverside Mil Acad     GA 5A Area03  ( 4-12, 71.7)    12- 3   
 328 H Forsyth Central        GA 5A Area03  ( 2-15, 64.0)    17- 2   
 329 H Wesleyan               GA 5A Area03  (12- 6, 83.9)    12- 7   
 403 H Blessed Trinity        GA 5A Area03  (11- 7, 90.9)     8- 7  o
 415 A Northview              GA 5A Area03  (21- 1, 99.9)     3-18   
 417 A Fellowship Christian   GA 5A Area03  (11- 6, 87.4)     8-11   
 423 A Milton                 GA 6A Area02  (18- 3, 99.8)     4-17   
 425 H Montgomery Bell Acad   TN 1  Cent-1  (14- 6, 93.3)     6- 9   
 426 H Birmingham-Hoover      AL 1          (11-10, 91.0)    14- 4   
 507 A Marist                 GA 5A Area04  (15- 4, 90.4)     3- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 H South Forsyth          10- 8       2     4          n/a  
   225 H Creekview              12- 6       6    12    --    -4.00
   228 H Gainesville            17- 0      17    20           0.00
   303 A Buford                 13- 2      11     8           1.54
   307 A West Forsyth            8-11      -3     0          n/a  
   311 A Woodstock               9-12      -3    -4          n/a  
   313 H Cherokee               18- 2      16    14          n/a  
   314 H North Springs          13- 3      10    10           0.00
   318 A Gr.Atlanta Christian    4-10      -6    -5          -0.38
   321 A Riverside Mil Acad     12- 3       9    13          -1.00
   328 H Forsyth Central        17- 2      15    24           0.00
   329 H Wesleyan               12- 7       5     4           0.57
   403 H Blessed Trinity         8- 7  o    1    -2    +      3.55
   415 A Northview               3-18     -15   -14           0.00
   417 A Fellowship Christian    8-11      -3    -2          -0.65
   423 A Milton                  4-17     -13   -14          n/a  
   425 H Montgomery Bell Acad    6- 9      -3    -5          n/a  
   426 H Birmingham-Hoover      14- 4      10    -2          n/a  
   507 A Marist                  3- 5      -2    -5    +      3.29

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Creekview              12- 6       6    12    --    -4.00
   222 H South Forsyth          10- 8       2     4    -          
   307 A West Forsyth            8-11      -3     0    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Birmingham-Hoover      14- 4      10    -2    +++        
   403 H Blessed Trinity         8- 7  o    1    -2    +      3.55
   425 H Montgomery Bell Acad    6- 9      -3    -5    +          
   507 A Marist                  3- 5      -2    -5    +      3.29
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.71 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.03 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/