Conf =  D1                        Region = CA    Avocado          
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Dave Demuth           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.2970276    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 A San Dieguito           CA    Valley  ( 2-13, 66.6)    18- 1   
 312 A Santa Fe Christian     CA    Coastal (12- 5, 87.6)    10- 5   
 314 A Temecula Valley        CA    Indep   ( 5-12, 73.6)    12- 0   
 319 H Otay Ranch             CA    Metro   ( 7- 9, 73.1)    16- 0   
 321 H Poway                  CA    Palomar (10- 8, 93.2)     6- 9   
 326 A La Costa Canyon        CA    Avocado (16- 6, 97.9)    12-11   
 329 H Air Academy            CO 4A PikesPk ( 5-10, 78.6)    14- 1   
 402 A Fallbrook              CA    Avocado ( 7-13, 76.0)    12- 2   
 405 A San Marcos             CA    Valley  (11- 7, 87.1)    11- 5   
 414 H Torrey Pines           CA    Avocado (14- 7, 96.3)     6-11   
 418 A Pacific Ridge          CA    Coastal (12- 5, 93.3)     5-12   
 426 A Westview               CA    Palomar (12- 8, 91.3)    10- 9   
 429 H La Costa Canyon        CA    Avocado (16- 6, 97.9)     8-14   
 502 A Patrick Henry          CA    City I  ( 7- 9, 82.8)     7- 3   
 507 A Torrey Pines           CA    Avocado (14- 7, 96.3)     4-10   
 509 H Fallbrook              CA    Avocado ( 7-13, 76.0)    10- 5   
 523 H Grossmont              CA    Grosmnt (13- 5, 86.3)    10- 1   
 527 H Santa Fe Christian     CA    Coastal (12- 5, 87.6)     7- 3   
 531 N Scripps Ranch          CA    City I  (12- 9, 88.2)    15-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A San Dieguito           18- 1      17    26           0.00
   312 A Santa Fe Christian     10- 5       5     5          -0.31
   314 A Temecula Valley        12- 0      12    19          n/a  
   319 H Otay Ranch             16- 0      16    20           0.00
   321 H Poway                   6- 9      -3     0    -     -3.37
   326 A La Costa Canyon        12-11       1    -5    +++    6.02
   329 H Air Academy            14- 1      13    15          n/a  
   402 A Fallbrook              12- 2      10    16           0.00
   405 A San Marcos             11- 5       6     5           0.19
   414 H Torrey Pines            6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.30
   418 A Pacific Ridge           5-12      -7     0    ---   -6.59
   426 A Westview               10- 9       1     1          -0.61
   429 H La Costa Canyon         8-14      -6    -4          -1.67
   502 A Patrick Henry           7- 3       4    10    ---   -6.00
   507 A Torrey Pines            4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.61
   509 H Fallbrook              10- 5       5    17    --    -5.00
   523 H Grossmont              10- 1       9     7           1.67
   527 H Santa Fe Christian      7- 3       4     6    -     -2.01
   531 N Scripps Ranch          15-10       5     5          -0.03

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Pacific Ridge           5-12      -7     0    ---   -6.59
   502 A Patrick Henry           7- 3       4    10    ---   -6.00
   509 H Fallbrook              10- 5       5    17    --    -5.00
   321 H Poway                   6- 9      -3     0    -     -3.37
   414 H Torrey Pines            6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.30
   507 A Torrey Pines            4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.61
   527 H Santa Fe Christian      7- 3       4     6    -     -2.01

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A La Costa Canyon        12-11       1    -5    +++    6.02
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.27 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.61 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.115.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.0
/