Region = VA 5A Potomc           
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Bruce Lipson          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.6580658    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 N Stone Bridge           VA 5A Potomc  (15- 3, 98.5)     9-16   
 401 A Dominion HS            VA 5A Dulles  ( 9- 7, 91.4)    11-20   
 407 N Freedom-South Riding   VA 5A Potomc  (11- 5, 91.2)    13-12   
 408 H Patriot                VA 6A Grp-3   (12- 5, 92.8)     4-16   
 410 H Tuscarora              VA 5A Potomc  ( 4-11, 76.6)    12- 5   
 412 N Centreville            VA 6A Concord ( 6- 9, 86.9)    10- 9  o
 414 A Woodgrove              VA 5A Dulles  (13- 4, 94.1)     6-11   
 416 N Westfield              VA 6A Concord (10- 8, 92.3)     6-11   
 421 A Potomac Falls          VA 5A Potomc  ( 2-13, 75.1)    20- 8   
 424 H Broad Run              VA 5A Potomc  (11- 6, 92.2)     4-16   
 428 A Freedom-South Riding   VA 5A Potomc  (11- 5, 91.2)     8-12   
 505 H Potomac Falls          VA 5A Potomc  ( 2-13, 75.1)    15- 8   
 508 A Tuscarora              VA 5A Potomc  ( 4-11, 76.6)    19- 7   
 512 A Broad Run              VA 5A Potomc  (11- 6, 92.2)     8-16   
 517 H Potomac Falls          VA 5A Potomc  ( 2-13, 75.1)    18-10   
 520 A Stone Bridge           VA 5A Potomc  (15- 3, 98.5)     3-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 N Stone Bridge            9-16      -7   -13    +      3.00
   401 A Dominion HS            11-20      -9    -6    -     -2.19
   407 N Freedom-South Riding   13-12       1    -6    +++    7.10
   408 H Patriot                 4-16     -12    -7    -     -2.86
   410 H Tuscarora              12- 5       7     9    -     -2.08
   412 N Centreville            10- 9  o    1    -1          n/a  
   414 A Woodgrove               6-11      -5    -9    ++     4.53
   416 N Westfield               6-11      -5    -7          n/a  
   421 A Potomac Falls          20- 8      12     9           0.48
   424 H Broad Run               4-16     -12    -6    -     -3.44
   428 A Freedom-South Riding    8-12      -4    -6    +      2.63
   505 H Potomac Falls          15- 8       7    10    -     -3.00
   508 A Tuscarora              19- 7      12     8           1.99
   512 A Broad Run               8-16      -8    -7          -0.37
   517 H Potomac Falls          18-10       8    10    -     -2.00
   520 A Stone Bridge            3-17     -14   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Dominion HS            11-20      -9    -6    -     -2.19
   408 H Patriot                 4-16     -12    -7    -     -2.86
   410 H Tuscarora              12- 5       7     9    -     -2.08
   424 H Broad Run               4-16     -12    -6    -     -3.44
   505 H Potomac Falls          15- 8       7    10    -     -3.00
   517 H Potomac Falls          18-10       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 N Freedom-South Riding   13-12       1    -6    +++    7.10
   414 A Woodgrove               6-11      -5    -9    ++     4.53
   331 N Stone Bridge            9-16      -7   -13    +      3.00
   412 N Centreville            10- 9  o    1    -1    +          
   416 N Westfield               6-11      -5    -7    +          
   428 A Freedom-South Riding    8-12      -4    -6    +      2.63
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.12 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.80 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
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