Region = NE 1  West             
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Kevan Bowler          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.7214432    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Northfield Mt Hermon   NE 1  West    ( 5-12, 85.5)    11- 7   
 402 A Deerfield              NE 1  West    (15- 1, 99.9)     8-15   
 405 H Salisbury School       NE 1  West    (11- 5, 94.9)     9-13   
 409 H Avon Old Farms         NE 1  West-FL (16- 3, 97.1)     8-13   
 412 A Loomis Chaffee         NE 1  West-FL ( 4-12, 86.0)    12-10   
 416 A Hotchkiss              NE 1  West-FL ( 9- 7, 91.8)     6-12   
 419 A Kent School            NE 1  West-FL ( 4-10, 86.4)    12- 9   
 423 A Williston Northampton  NE 2  West    ( 7- 8, 91.2)    10- 5   
 426 H Trinity-Pawling        NE 1  West-FL ( 7-12, 90.7)     6- 3   
 428 A Gunnery School         NE 2  West    ( 8- 6, 94.8)    14- 7   
 502 H Taft School            NE 1  West-FL (12- 4, 96.2)    11-15   
 503 A Choate                 NE 1  West-FL ( 7- 7, 90.4)     7-10   
 507 A Westminster School     NE 1  West-FL ( 9- 6, 95.2)     3-14   
 510 H Wilbraham & Monson     NE 2  West    (11- 5, 93.4)    19- 8   
 514 H Millbrook School       NE 2  West    ( 5-11, 89.3)    16- 8   
 516 H Canterbury             NE 2  West    (11- 7, 95.2)    10- 2   
 517 A Brunswick School       NE 1  West    (15- 3, 97.6)     8-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Northfield Mt Hermon   11- 7       4     8    --    -4.12
   402 A Deerfield               8-15      -7    -8           1.66
   405 H Salisbury School        9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.72
   409 H Avon Old Farms          8-13      -5    -3          -1.54
   412 A Loomis Chaffee         12-10       2     5    -     -3.27
   416 A Hotchkiss               6-12      -6     0    --    -5.40
   419 A Kent School            12- 9       3     4          -1.82
   423 A Williston Northampton  10- 5       5     0          n/a  
   426 H Trinity-Pawling         6- 3       3     2           0.09
   428 A Gunnery School         14- 7       7    -3          n/a  
   502 H Taft School            11-15      -4    -2          -1.45
   503 A Choate                  7-10      -3     0    -     -3.83
   507 A Westminster School      3-14     -11    -3    ---   -6.05
   510 H Wilbraham & Monson     19- 8      11     0          n/a  
   514 H Millbrook School       16- 8       8     4          n/a  
   516 H Canterbury             10- 2       8    -1          n/a  
   517 A Brunswick School        8-16      -8    -6          -1.63

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Westminster School      3-14     -11    -3    ---   -6.05
   329 H Northfield Mt Hermon   11- 7       4     8    --    -4.12
   416 A Hotchkiss               6-12      -6     0    --    -5.40
   405 H Salisbury School        9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.72
   412 A Loomis Chaffee         12-10       2     5    -     -3.27
   503 A Choate                  7-10      -3     0    -     -3.83

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Gunnery School         14- 7       7    -3    +++        
   510 H Wilbraham & Monson     19- 8      11     0    +++        
   516 H Canterbury             10- 2       8    -1    +++        
   423 A Williston Northampton  10- 5       5     0    ++         
   514 H Millbrook School       16- 8       8     4    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.43 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 83.00 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/