Conf =  Sec2                      Region = MN 1  SoSub            
   Nickname = N Jaguars              Coach  =   Scott Cater           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.4629517    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 415 H Edina                  MN 1  Lake    ( 7- 9, 87.4)     9- 5   
 419 H Eastview               MN 1  SoSub   ( 7- 8, 89.4)    11- 9   
 422 A Burnsville             MN 1  SoSub   ( 3-10, 83.9)    11- 5   
 501 A Lakeville North        MN 1  SoSub   (14- 5, 92.8)    10- 7   
 503 H Blake                  MN 1  TriMet  (15- 4, 95.2)     4-11   
 506 H Prior Lake             MN 1  SoSub   (13- 3, 95.1)     7- 6   
 509 A Apple Valley           MN 1  SoSub   ( 6- 8, 86.0)     9- 6   
 510 A Champlin Park          MN 1  NoWest  (15- 2, 93.7)     7- 8 4o
 513 H Rosemount              MN 1  SoSub   (16- 2, 99.9)     5-11   
 514 A Eagan                  MN 1  SoSub   (10- 5, 92.6)     9-15   
 515 H Lakeville South        MN 1  SoSub   ( 6-10, 83.7)    15- 6   
 520 A Bloom Kennedy          MN 1  SoSub   ( 3-11, 79.0)    17- 6   
 522 H Orono                  MN 1  Wright  ( 9- 5, 86.3)    18- 9   
 530 H Eastview               MN 1  SoSub   ( 7- 8, 89.4)     7-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Edina                   9- 5       4     5          -1.24
   419 H Eastview               11- 9       2     3          -1.19
   422 A Burnsville             11- 5       6     7          -1.41
   501 A Lakeville North        10- 7       3    -1    ++     4.48
   503 H Blake                   4-11      -7    -2    --    -4.39
   506 H Prior Lake              7- 6       1    -2    +      3.44
   509 A Apple Valley            9- 6       3     5    -     -2.30
   510 A Champlin Park           7- 8 4o   -1    -2           1.38
   513 H Rosemount               5-11      -6    -7           1.27
   514 A Eagan                   9-15      -6    -1    --    -4.78
   515 H Lakeville South        15- 6       9     8           0.04
   520 A Bloom Kennedy          17- 6      11    12           0.00
   522 H Orono                  18- 9       9     6    +      2.66
   530 H Eastview                7-10      -3     3    ---   -6.19

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   530 H Eastview                7-10      -3     3    ---   -6.19
   503 H Blake                   4-11      -7    -2    --    -4.39
   514 A Eagan                   9-15      -6    -1    --    -4.78
   509 A Apple Valley            9- 6       3     5    -     -2.30

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Lakeville North        10- 7       3    -1    ++     4.48
   506 H Prior Lake              7- 6       1    -2    +      3.44
   522 H Orono                  18- 9       9     6    +      2.66
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.99 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.53 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7
/