Region = MI 1  Reg2-1           
   Nickname = I Black Hawks          Coach  =   Ethan Frank           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.7677155    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Port Huron United      MI 1  Reg4-1  ( 8- 6, 73.9)    21- 7   
 401 H Walled Lake Northern   MI 1  Reg1-1  ( 5- 8, 75.3)    10- 7   
 404 A Quaker Valley          PA    Div2-S3 (18- 0, 99.8)     6-13   
 406 A Erie Cathedral Prep    PA    Indep   (12- 9, 86.9)     8-12   
 408 H Grosse Ile             MI 2  Reg7-2  ( 3- 9, 64.8)    15- 4   
 417 A Rochester Stoney Creek MI 1  Reg2-1  ( 3-10, 72.0)    13- 6   
 419 A Troy                   MI 1  Reg2-1  (16- 5, 90.2)     9-15   
 422 A Troy Athens            MI 1  Reg4-1  (11- 8, 84.0)     8-15   
 424 H Farmington             MI 2  Reg7-2  ( 5-12, 71.9)     9- 6   
 429 H Clarkston              MI 1  Reg4-1  (17- 3, 96.0)     3-14   
 502 H Massillon-Jackson      OH 1  NE-NW   ( 6-10, 82.5)     6-12   
 505 H Birmingham             MI 1  Reg2-1  (12- 8, 89.0)     6-12   
 508 A Lake Orion             MI 1  Reg2-1  ( 7-12, 77.7)     6-13   
 509 H Rochester Adams        MI 2  Reg8-2  (15- 5, 86.2)     7-10   
 514 A Bishop Foley           MI 2  Reg8-2  ( 9- 8, 74.8)    10- 9   
 515 H Rochester Stoney Creek MI 1  Reg2-1  ( 3-10, 72.0)    11- 8   
 523 A Birmingham             MI 1  Reg2-1  (12- 8, 89.0)     6-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Port Huron United      21- 7      14     5    ++     4.17
   401 H Walled Lake Northern   10- 7       3     4          -1.43
   404 A Quaker Valley           6-13      -7   -22          n/a  
   406 A Erie Cathedral Prep     8-12      -4    -9          n/a  
   408 H Grosse Ile             15- 4      11    14           0.00
   417 A Rochester Stoney Creek 13- 6       7     5           1.51
   419 A Troy                    9-15      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   422 A Troy Athens             8-15      -7    -6          -0.55
   424 H Farmington              9- 6       3     7    --    -4.86
   429 H Clarkston               3-14     -11   -16           0.00
   502 H Massillon-Jackson       6-12      -6    -2          n/a  
   505 H Birmingham              6-12      -6    -9    +      3.22
   508 A Lake Orion              6-13      -7     0    ---   -6.79
   509 H Rochester Adams         7-10      -3    -6    +      3.46
   514 A Bishop Foley           10- 9       1     2          -1.70
   515 H Rochester Stoney Creek 11- 8       3     7    --    -4.70
   523 A Birmingham              6-16     -10   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A Lake Orion              6-13      -7     0    ---   -6.79
   424 H Farmington              9- 6       3     7    --    -4.86
   515 H Rochester Stoney Creek 11- 8       3     7    --    -4.70
   502 H Massillon-Jackson       6-12      -6    -2    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Port Huron United      21- 7      14     5    ++     4.17
   406 A Erie Cathedral Prep     8-12      -4    -9    ++         
   419 A Troy                    9-15      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   404 A Quaker Valley           6-13      -7   -22    +          
   505 H Birmingham              6-12      -6    -9    +      3.22
   509 H Rochester Adams         7-10      -3    -6    +      3.46
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.63 Local Power Rank...........    47
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.50 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    45
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    39
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/