Conf =  Sec6                      Region = MN 1  TriMet           
   Nickname = N Bears                Coach  =   Frank Clark           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.2376709    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 415 H Prior Lake             MN 1  SoSub   (13- 3, 95.1)     6- 7   
 421 H Burnsville             MN 1  SoSub   ( 3-10, 83.9)     9-11   
 426 A Cretin-Derham Hall     MN 1  East    ( 4-10, 79.5)    16- 3   
 428 A Benilde St. Margaret   MN 1  North   (13- 3, 92.2)    13- 6   
 430 A Orono                  MN 1  Wright  ( 9- 5, 86.3)     9- 6   
 503 A Bloom Jefferson        MN 1  SoSub   ( 9- 5, 92.0)    11- 4   
 507 H Eden Prairie           MN 1  Lake    (17- 2, 98.8)     5- 6   
 510 A Hopkins                MN 1  Lake    ( 2-12, 77.2)    17- 3   
 513 H St Thomas Academy      MN 1  Classic ( 7- 8, 86.2)    12- 5   
 516 A Academy Holy Angels    MN 1  Missota (12- 3, 89.9)    14-10   
 519 A Breck                  MN 1  TriMet  ( 3- 9, 75.1)    13- 4   
 521 H Mahtomedi              MN 1  Classic ( 9- 8, 85.5)    16- 4   
 523 H Apple Valley           MN 1  SoSub   ( 6- 8, 86.0)    12- 6   
 527 H Simley                 MN 1  Classic ( 4- 8, 71.0)    17- 0   
 529 H St Thomas Academy      MN 1  Classic ( 7- 8, 86.2)    12- 3   
 603 A Benilde St. Margaret   MN 1  North   (13- 3, 92.2)    11- 6   
 610 N Lakeville North        MN 1  SoSub   (14- 5, 92.8)     9-11   
 612 N Mahtomedi              MN 1  Classic ( 9- 8, 85.5)    10- 7   
 614 N Champlin Park          MN 1  NoWest  (15- 2, 93.7)    14- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Prior Lake              6- 7      -1     0          -1.81
   421 H Burnsville              9-11      -2    11    ---  -12.00
   426 A Cretin-Derham Hall     16- 3      13    15           0.00
   428 A Benilde St. Margaret   13- 6       7     2    ++     4.63
   430 A Orono                   9- 6       3     8    --    -5.30
   503 A Bloom Jefferson        11- 4       7     2    ++     4.39
   507 H Eden Prairie            5- 6      -1    -2           1.93
   510 A Hopkins                17- 3      14    17           0.00
   513 H St Thomas Academy      12- 5       7     9    -     -2.66
   516 A Academy Holy Angels    14-10       4     4          -0.66
   519 A Breck                  13- 4       9    19          -1.00
   521 H Mahtomedi              16- 4      12    10           0.00
   523 H Apple Valley           12- 6       6     9    -     -3.84
   527 H Simley                 17- 0      17    24           0.00
   529 H St Thomas Academy      12- 3       9     9          -0.66
   603 A Benilde St. Margaret   11- 6       5     2    +      2.63
   610 N Lakeville North         9-11      -2     2    --    -4.42
   612 N Mahtomedi              10- 7       3     9    ---   -6.73
   614 N Champlin Park          14- 7       7     1    ++     5.48

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Burnsville              9-11      -2    11    ---  -12.00
   612 N Mahtomedi              10- 7       3     9    ---   -6.73
   430 A Orono                   9- 6       3     8    --    -5.30
   610 N Lakeville North         9-11      -2     2    --    -4.42
   513 H St Thomas Academy      12- 5       7     9    -     -2.66
   523 H Apple Valley           12- 6       6     9    -     -3.84

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Benilde St. Margaret   13- 6       7     2    ++     4.63
   503 A Bloom Jefferson        11- 4       7     2    ++     4.39
   614 N Champlin Park          14- 7       7     1    ++     5.48
   603 A Benilde St. Margaret   11- 6       5     2    +      2.63
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.24 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.07 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .   11.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating. 95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
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