Region = NY A  Sec 4            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Mark Ward             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.3824844    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 H Union-Endicott         NY B  Sec 4   ( 2-14, 80.9)     8- 5   
 327 H Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   (11- 5, 91.8)     5-12   
 401 A Corning                NY A  Sec 4   (13- 5, 99.8)     8-15   
 408 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 8- 9, 92.5)    12-13   
 410 H Horseheads             NY B  Sec 4   ( 6- 9, 90.9)    14-11   
 412 H Seton Catholic Central NY C  Sec 4   ( 8- 9, 86.4)    15- 9   
 415 H Vestal                 NY B  Sec 4   (15- 3, 99.9)     7-13   
 417 A Newburgh Free Academy  NY A  Sec 9   ( 0-14, 73.7)    14- 4   
 423 A Horseheads             NY B  Sec 4   ( 6- 9, 90.9)    12-10   
 426 H Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (13- 6, 92.9)     7-19   
 428 A Corcoran               NY A  Sec 3   (12- 6, 93.5)     7-14   
 430 A Vestal                 NY B  Sec 4   (15- 3, 99.9)    10-12   
 503 H Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 8- 9, 92.5)     7-16   
 507 H Corning                NY A  Sec 4   (13- 5, 99.8)     5-11   
 509 A Union-Endicott         NY B  Sec 4   ( 2-14, 80.9)     8- 6   
 520 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 8- 9, 92.5)     5- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Union-Endicott          8- 5       3     9    ---   -6.29
   327 H Cicero-North Syracuse   5-12      -7    -1          n/a  
   401 A Corning                 8-15      -7   -12    +      3.00
   408 A Ithaca                 12-13      -1    -4    +      3.68
   410 H Horseheads             14-11       3     0    +      3.74
   412 H Seton Catholic Central 15- 9       6     3    +      2.17
   415 H Vestal                  7-13      -6    -9    +      3.70
   417 A Newburgh Free Academy  14- 4      10    14          n/a  
   423 A Horseheads             12-10       2    -3    ++     5.15
   426 H Shenendehowa            7-19     -12    -3          n/a  
   428 A Corcoran                7-14      -7    -5          n/a  
   430 A Vestal                 10-12      -2   -12    +++    8.00
   503 H Ithaca                  7-16      -9    -2    ---   -6.73
   507 H Corning                 5-11      -6    -9    +      3.64
   509 A Union-Endicott          8- 6       2     6    --    -4.88
   520 A Ithaca                  5- 8      -3    -4           1.68

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Union-Endicott          8- 5       3     9    ---   -6.29
   426 H Shenendehowa            7-19     -12    -3    ---        
   503 H Ithaca                  7-16      -9    -2    ---   -6.73
   327 H Cicero-North Syracuse   5-12      -7    -1    --         
   509 A Union-Endicott          8- 6       2     6    --    -4.88

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A Vestal                 10-12      -2   -12    +++    8.00
   423 A Horseheads             12-10       2    -3    ++     5.15
   401 A Corning                 8-15      -7   -12    +      3.00
   408 A Ithaca                 12-13      -1    -4    +      3.68
   410 H Horseheads             14-11       3     0    +      3.74
   412 H Seton Catholic Central 15- 9       6     3    +      2.17
   415 H Vestal                  7-13      -6    -9    +      3.70
   507 H Corning                 5-11      -6    -9    +      3.64
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.00 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.32 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/