Conf =  SWCIAC                    Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   John Distler          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.9930115    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 H Mercer Island          WA 1  KingCo  (19- 3, 95.3)    10-12   
 412 H Brookfield             CT S          (16- 7, 84.5)    12-11   
 416 A Simsbury               CT L          (18- 2, 90.4)     6- 8   
 417 H New Fairfield          CT M          (10- 9, 82.2)     6- 5   
 419 H Glastonbury            CT L          (13- 6, 84.8)     9- 8  o
 421 A Masuk-Monroe           CT M          ( 3-13, 66.9)    19- 4   
 424 H Newtown                CT L          (14- 5, 85.9)    12- 5   
 429 A Bethel                 CT M          ( 6-11, 72.8)    13- 2   
 503 A Wantagh                NY B  Sec 8   (12- 5, 89.1)     9-11   
 506 A New Milford            CT L          (15- 5, 85.3)     8-10   
 507 H Guilford               CT M          (11- 9, 82.6)    12- 9   
 510 A Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (11- 9, 81.6)     6- 9   
 512 H Immaculate Danbury     CT S          ( 4-12, 65.2)    15- 2   
 513 A New Canaan             CT M          (17- 5, 93.9)     3-14   
 514 H Bunnell-Stratford      CT M          ( 6-11, 67.5)    19- 1   
 519 A Weston                 CT S          (10- 9, 80.5)     6- 5   
 528 N Brookfield             CT S          (16- 7, 84.5)     9-10  o
 604 H Fitch-Groton           CT M          ( 9- 8, 71.6)    19- 3   
 607 H Avon HS                CT M          ( 9-11, 73.1)    19- 2   
 611 N New Canaan             CT M          (17- 5, 93.9)     1-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Mercer Island          10-12      -2    -9          n/a  
   412 H Brookfield             12-11       1     1          -0.21
   416 A Simsbury                6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.37
   417 H New Fairfield           6- 5       1     3    -     -2.52
   419 H Glastonbury             9- 8  o    1     0           0.09
   421 A Masuk-Monroe           19- 4      15    17           0.00
   424 H Newtown                12- 5       7     0    +++    7.26
   429 A Bethel                 13- 2      11    11           0.00
   503 A Wantagh                 9-11      -2    -5          n/a  
   506 A New Milford             8-10      -2    -1          -0.67
   507 H Guilford               12- 9       3     3          -0.06
   510 A Daniel Hand-Madison     6- 9      -3     2    --    -5.39
   512 H Immaculate Danbury     15- 2      13    20           0.00
   513 A New Canaan              3-14     -11    -9          -0.08
   514 H Bunnell-Stratford      19- 1      18    18           0.00
   519 A Weston                  6- 5       1     3    -     -2.50
   528 N Brookfield              9-10  o   -1     0          -1.36
   604 H Fitch-Groton           19- 3      16    14           0.00
   607 H Avon HS                19- 2      17    12           0.00
   611 N New Canaan              1-15     -14    -9          -0.92

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Daniel Hand-Madison     6- 9      -3     2    --    -5.39
   417 H New Fairfield           6- 5       1     3    -     -2.52
   519 A Weston                  6- 5       1     3    -     -2.50

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Mercer Island          10-12      -2    -9    +++        
   424 H Newtown                12- 5       7     0    +++    7.26
   416 A Simsbury                6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.37
   503 A Wantagh                 9-11      -2    -5    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.83 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.46 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    41
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.3
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