Conf =  NWCIAC                    Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Jeff Lombardo         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.1908569    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 H Granby Memorial        CT S          (14- 4, 78.8)     6- 7   
 411 A Ellington              CT S          ( 2-14, 61.1)    14- 1   
 417 A Suffield HS            CT S          ( 3-13, 64.7)    12- 5   
 422 H Somers                 CT S          (16- 3, 83.5)     3-13   
 424 H Conard-West Hartford   CT L          ( 6-11, 76.9)     4-10   
 426 A Granby Memorial        CT S          (14- 4, 78.8)     6-10   
 428 H Ellington              CT S          ( 2-14, 61.1)    11- 2   
 505 H Canton                 CT S          ( 3-13, 61.8)    17- 3   
 507 A Farmington             CT M          ( 8- 9, 70.7)     4- 8   
 508 H Suffield HS            CT S          ( 3-13, 64.7)    12- 8   
 512 A Canton                 CT S          ( 3-13, 61.8)    21- 4   
 513 H Southington            CT L          (11- 8, 81.5)     6-16   
 516 A Somers                 CT S          (16- 3, 83.5)     3-15   
 517 H Northwest Catholic     CT S          (14- 6, 79.6)    16-11   
 520 A Morgan-Clinton         CT S          (10- 7, 76.4)     5-11   
 522 A St Joseph-Trumbull     CT S          (15- 6, 88.3)     1-12   
 527 N Granby Memorial        CT S          (14- 4, 78.8)     3-10   
 531 A Farmington             CT M          ( 8- 9, 70.7)     9- 5   
 604 A East Lyme              CT M          (15- 4, 80.6)     7- 5   
 607 A Joel Barlow            CT M          (12- 8, 84.8)     2-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Granby Memorial         6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.84
   411 A Ellington              14- 1      13    11           0.00
   417 A Suffield HS            12- 5       7     7          -0.58
   422 H Somers                  3-13     -10    -9          -0.50
   424 H Conard-West Hartford    4-10      -6    -2    -     -3.02
   426 A Granby Memorial         6-10      -4    -6    +      2.53
   428 H Ellington              11- 2       9    12          -1.00
   505 H Canton                 17- 3      14    12           0.00
   507 A Farmington              4- 8      -4     1    --    -5.62
   508 H Suffield HS            12- 8       4     9    --    -5.27
   512 A Canton                 21- 4      17    10           0.00
   513 H Southington             6-16     -10    -7    -     -2.49
   516 A Somers                  3-15     -12   -11           0.00
   517 H Northwest Catholic     16-11       5    -5    +++   10.64
   520 A Morgan-Clinton          5-11      -6    -4          -1.91
   522 A St Joseph-Trumbull      1-12     -11   -16           0.00
   527 N Granby Memorial         3-10      -7    -5          -1.32
   531 A Farmington              9- 5       4     1    +      2.38
   604 A East Lyme               7- 5       2    -8    +++   10.33
   607 A Joel Barlow             2-19     -17   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Farmington              4- 8      -4     1    --    -5.62
   508 H Suffield HS            12- 8       4     9    --    -5.27
   424 H Conard-West Hartford    4-10      -6    -2    -     -3.02
   513 H Southington             6-16     -10    -7    -     -2.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   517 H Northwest Catholic     16-11       5    -5    +++   10.64
   604 A East Lyme               7- 5       2    -8    +++   10.33
   409 H Granby Memorial         6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.84
   426 A Granby Memorial         6-10      -4    -6    +      2.53
   531 A Farmington              9- 5       4     1    +      2.38
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.12 Local Power Rank...........    49
 Local SOS Rating......... 48.97 Local SOS Rank.............    44
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    42
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    64
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/