Conf =  Sec3                      Region = MN 1  SoSub            
   Nickname = N Lightning            Coach  =   Tim Roche             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.7875137    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 419 A Bloom Jefferson        MN 1  SoSub   ( 9- 5, 92.0)     9-11   
 422 H Rosemount              MN 1  SoSub   (16- 2, 99.9)     6- 9   
 426 A Champlin Park          MN 1  NoWest  (15- 2, 93.7)     7-10   
 501 A Burnsville             MN 1  SoSub   ( 3-10, 83.9)     8- 7   
 502 H Bloom Kennedy          MN 1  SoSub   ( 3-11, 79.0)    11- 4   
 503 H Minnetonka             MN 1  Lake    ( 4-10, 84.6)     7- 5   
 506 A Lakeville South        MN 1  SoSub   ( 6-10, 83.7)    13- 6   
 508 H Eagan                  MN 1  SoSub   (10- 5, 92.6)     8- 9   
 510 H Mahtomedi              MN 1  Classic ( 9- 8, 85.5)    10- 7   
 513 A Lakeville North        MN 1  SoSub   (14- 5, 92.8)     6-12   
 515 A Prior Lake             MN 1  SoSub   (13- 3, 95.1)     6- 7  o
 520 A Apple Valley           MN 1  SoSub   ( 6- 8, 86.0)    13- 4   
 522 A Eden Prairie           MN 1  Lake    (17- 2, 98.8)     6-12   
 530 A Bloom Jefferson        MN 1  SoSub   ( 9- 5, 92.0)    10- 7   
 603 A Rosemount              MN 1  SoSub   (16- 2, 99.9)     6-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Bloom Jefferson         9-11      -2    -3           1.19
   422 H Rosemount               6- 9      -3    -9    +++    6.81
   426 A Champlin Park           7-10      -3    -4           1.93
   501 A Burnsville              8- 7       1     4    -     -3.87
   502 H Bloom Kennedy          11- 4       7    11    -     -3.00
   503 H Minnetonka              7- 5       2     5    -     -3.51
   506 A Lakeville South        13- 6       7     5           1.88
   508 H Eagan                   8- 9      -1    -2           1.47
   510 H Mahtomedi              10- 7       3     4          -1.58
   513 A Lakeville North         6-12      -6    -4          -1.97
   515 A Prior Lake              6- 7  o   -1    -6    ++     5.28
   520 A Apple Valley           13- 4       9     2    +++    6.25
   522 A Eden Prairie            6-12      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   530 A Bloom Jefferson        10- 7       3    -3    +++    6.19
   603 A Rosemount               6-13      -7   -11    +      3.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Burnsville              8- 7       1     4    -     -3.87
   502 H Bloom Kennedy          11- 4       7    11    -     -3.00
   503 H Minnetonka              7- 5       2     5    -     -3.51

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Rosemount               6- 9      -3    -9    +++    6.81
   520 A Apple Valley           13- 4       9     2    +++    6.25
   530 A Bloom Jefferson        10- 7       3    -3    +++    6.19
   515 A Prior Lake              6- 7  o   -1    -6    ++     5.28
   522 A Eden Prairie            6-12      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   603 A Rosemount               6-13      -7   -11    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.44 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.91 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/