Conf =  Merrimack                 Region = MA 1  North            
   Nickname = A Golden Warrior       Coach  =   Wayne Puglisi         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.9620514    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Central Catholic       MA 1  North   (13- 7, 84.6)    13- 5   
 403 H North Andover          MA 1  North   (15- 7, 89.1)    10- 5   
 405 A Westford Academy       MA 1  North   (17- 6, 97.2)     5- 9   
 410 A Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2  North   (13- 8, 83.2)    12- 4   
 411 H Chelmsford             MA 1  North   ( 6-14, 78.3)    16- 0   
 414 H Lowell                 MA 1  North   ( 7-11, 76.4)    16- 3   
 417 H Billerica              MA 1  North   (12-10, 87.5)    15- 6   
 419 H Acton Boxborough       MA 1  North   (21- 3, 99.0)     7-10   
 422 N Concord Carlisle       MA 2  CenEast (14- 7, 91.8)     8- 9 2o
 424 N Hingham                MA 2  South   (19- 6, 92.8)     6- 9   
 426 N Winchester             MA 2  North   (10- 8, 86.2)     7- 6   
 428 A Londonderry            NH 1          (10- 8, 85.7)    10- 8   
 430 A Haverhill              MA 1  North   ( 3-15, 70.7)    10- 2   
 502 A North Andover          MA 1  North   (15- 7, 89.1)    10- 7   
 505 A Chelmsford             MA 1  North   ( 6-14, 78.3)    15- 1   
 507 H Dracut                 MA 2  North   ( 9-11, 78.1)    12- 7   
 510 A Cheshire HS            CT L          ( 4-12, 77.3)    10- 7   
 516 A Billerica              MA 1  North   (12-10, 87.5)    12- 7   
 519 A Masconomet             MA 1  North   (15- 7, 88.6)    11-14   
 521 H Lincoln-Sudbury        MA 1  North   (16- 7, 96.5)     7-12   
 528 H Salem                  MA 1  North   (12- 9, 79.7)    16- 3   
 531 A Masconomet             MA 1  North   (15- 7, 88.6)    11- 5   
 607 A Acton Boxborough       MA 1  North   (21- 3, 99.0)     4-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Central Catholic       13- 5       8     7           0.49
   403 H North Andover          10- 5       5     3           1.96
   405 A Westford Academy        5- 9      -4    -6    +      2.21
   410 A Tewksbury Memorial     12- 4       8     7           0.19
   411 H Chelmsford             16- 0      16    13           0.00
   414 H Lowell                 16- 3      13    15           0.00
   417 H Billerica              15- 6       9     4    ++     4.32
   419 H Acton Boxborough        7-10      -3    -6    +      3.90
   422 N Concord Carlisle        8- 9 2o   -1     0          -0.77
   424 N Hingham                 6- 9      -3    -1          -1.80
   426 N Winchester              7- 6       1     5    --    -4.33
   428 A Londonderry            10- 8       2     5          n/a  
   430 A Haverhill              10- 2       8    20    -     -2.00
   502 A North Andover          10- 7       3     1           1.13
   505 A Chelmsford             15- 1      14    12           0.00
   507 H Dracut                 12- 7       5    14    --    -5.00
   510 A Cheshire HS            10- 7       3    13          n/a  
   516 A Billerica              12- 7       5     3           1.49
   519 A Masconomet             11-14      -3     2    --    -5.32
   521 H Lincoln-Sudbury         7-12      -5    -4          -0.69
   528 H Salem                  16- 3      13    12           0.00
   531 A Masconomet             11- 5       6     2    +      3.68
   607 A Acton Boxborough        4-11      -7    -8           1.07

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Cheshire HS            10- 7       3    13    ---        
   426 N Winchester              7- 6       1     5    --    -4.33
   507 H Dracut                 12- 7       5    14    --    -5.00
   519 A Masconomet             11-14      -3     2    --    -5.32
   428 A Londonderry            10- 8       2     5    -          
   430 A Haverhill              10- 2       8    20    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Billerica              15- 6       9     4    ++     4.32
   405 A Westford Academy        5- 9      -4    -6    +      2.21
   419 H Acton Boxborough        7-10      -3    -6    +      3.90
   531 A Masconomet             11- 5       6     2    +      3.68
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.56 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.23 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/