boys probababilites for 32
 
 

2013 boys Maryland MPSSAA 4321

CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES

PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Bel Air 12 4 14 6 24 9 1 14 24 1.00 2 Walter Johnson 12 3 26 57 25 8 4 13 25 0.10 3 Westminster 19 0 1 13 3 1 24 1 26 42.00 4 Dulaney 10 6 20 1 18 6 7 16 29 1.00 5 Kent Island 14 2 6 52 10 15 10 12 37 3.00 6 South River 17 4 3 3 1 5 29 3 37 9.00 7 Howard 16 3 7 38 8 19 9 11 39 2.00 8 Churchill 15 2 11 50 9 2 38 4 44 1.00 9 Centennial 14 3 9 23 7 18 15 17 50 0.10 10 Arundel 15 2 4 28 6 13 34 7 54 8.00 11 Winters Mill 12 6 24 16 38 16 3 37 56 0.10 12 Fallston 16 4 12 32 12 7 42 8 57 0.10 13 Northern/Calv Ct 12 3 15 59 21 20 19 21 60 1.00 14 Wootton 12 3 10 37 17 4 50 6 60 1.00 15 Huntingtown 13 3 23 66 14 25 18 19 62 0.10 16 Urbana 13 3 22 31 15 12 33 18 63 0.10 17 Mount Hebron 12 4 8 18 19 23 14 27 64 2.00 18 Glenelg HS 16 3 5 5 2 10 52 5 67 2.00 19 Century 11 8 34 10 53 21 2 49 72 0.10 20 North Harford 14 2 17 35 11 11 56 9 76 0.10 21 Quince Orchard 10 5 36 73 45 35 17 26 78 0.10 22 Broadneck 9 7 18 4 13 27 21 31 79 2.00 23 Chesapeake-AA 15 3 13 11 5 14 57 10 81 1.00 24 CM Wright 8 7 30 2 42 24 23 41 88 0.10 25 NorthWestern 10 4 83 126 39 26 20 43 89 0.10 26 Bethesda/Chevy C 9 7 54 63 48 28 35 29 92 0.10 27 Towson 8 7 45 43 61 31 16 48 95 0.10 28 North Carroll 11 5 25 40 30 30 27 39 96 0.10 29 Franklin 14 3 21 45 16 22 69 15 106 0.10 30 Queen Annes Coun 9 7 31 39 44 40 6 60 106 0.10 31 Patuxent 12 4 44 87 28 41 32 35 108 0.10 32 Patterson Mill 10 10 40 25 71 29 22 58 109 0.10 33 Eastern Tech 10 7 63 70 54 46 25 50 121 0.10 34 Cambridge SD 11 4 32 67 31 44 49 32 125 0.10 35 Hereford 19 2 2 17 4 3 124 2 129 19.00 36 Poly-Baltimore 10 3 51 128 33 36 60 36 132 0.10 37 Damascus 10 3 50 106 29 42 73 23 138 0.10 38 Walkersville 9 5 37 55 40 43 51 44 138 0.10 39 Whitman 9 7 53 58 57 33 65 40 138 0.10 40 Middletown 12 3 19 36 26 17 100 22 139 1.00 41 BDJ/Civitas 10 2 90 150 27 34 81 25 140 0.10 42 Atholton 7 9 33 8 68 50 5 89 144 0.10 43 Kenwood 12 4 47 101 32 45 67 34 146 0.10 44 South Carroll 10 7 27 9 47 32 64 52 148 0.10 45 Southern AA 10 8 38 44 41 57 26 66 149 0.10 46 Linganore 5 9 69 15 97 48 12 91 151 0.10 47 Loch Raven 8 9 55 54 92 52 13 86 151 0.10 48 Sherwood 9 6 42 78 46 37 88 28 153 0.10 49 Liberty 8 7 49 49 67 58 31 65 154 0.10 50 La Plata 9 5 48 83 51 54 47 54 155 0.10 51 Havre De Grace 7 7 62 69 79 67 41 57 165 0.10 52 Reservoir 7 9 39 19 76 61 11 94 166 0.10 53 Catonsville 4 9 57 22 77 49 44 75 168 0.10 54 Richard Montgome 6 7 92 85 89 64 43 62 169 0.10 55 River Hill 6 10 52 14 93 62 8 103 173 0.10 56 Perry Hall 5 6 56 48 58 60 58 59 177 0.10 57 Rising Sun 12 4 59 109 36 59 89 30 178 0.10 58 Leonardtown 11 5 28 81 49 55 74 51 180 0.10 59 Calvert 9 5 46 93 50 69 66 53 188 0.10 60 Rockville 11 5 70 119 52 65 80 46 191 0.10 61 Marriotts Ridge 8 7 35 33 55 66 54 73 193 0.10 62 Stephen Decatur 12 4 29 62 23 39 130 24 193 0.10 63 City-Baltimore 9 3 65 132 34 56 105 38 199 0.10 64 Severna Park 9 6 16 20 22 38 131 33 202 4.00 65 Watkins Mill 8 5 73 113 56 74 85 45 204 0.10 66 Annapolis 6 9 43 7 37 53 98 56 207 0.10 67 New Town 9 1 74 149 20 47 141 20 208 0.10 68 Natl Academy Fou 8 4 101 146 43 68 101 47 216 0.10 69 North East Cecil 5 9 77 71 112 77 37 102 216 0.10 70 NorthEast AA 6 10 61 30 83 81 30 107 218 0.10 71 Blake 5 9 107 91 114 75 46 98 219 0.10 72 Aberdeen 9 6 78 99 66 73 84 64 221 0.10 73 Douglass 8 3 85 148 35 63 116 42 221 0.10 74 Clarksburg 7 9 97 96 109 83 39 100 222 0.10 75 Oakdale 10 8 41 51 80 51 99 74 224 0.10 76 Owings Mills 7 5 72 98 59 71 94 61 226 0.10 77 Poolesville 4 9 94 88 120 87 40 114 241 0.10 78 Harford Tech 6 6 76 103 78 78 92 72 242 0.10 79 Springbrook 7 6 91 114 72 86 103 55 244 0.10 80 Chopticon 5 8 95 75 101 89 59 99 247 0.10 81 Parkside 7 7 68 76 84 91 71 87 249 0.10 82 Chesapeake-BC 5 5 110 130 62 72 111 67 250 0.10 83 Manchester Valle 6 9 67 53 106 88 61 105 254 0.10 84 North Point 5 9 108 74 107 95 53 106 254 0.10 85 North County 2 10 87 12 95 99 45 113 257 0.10 86 Pikesville 4 11 89 56 131 82 48 127 257 0.10 87 Easton 6 9 64 42 91 80 83 96 259 0.10 88 Thomas Stone 7 8 93 90 102 93 62 104 259 0.10 89 Woodlawn 7 5 98 117 60 85 112 63 260 0.10 90 Wilde Lake 5 10 60 26 99 96 55 112 263 0.10 91 Forest Park 5 5 125 139 63 79 118 68 265 0.10 92 Oakland Mills 5 11 80 47 118 102 36 128 266 0.10 93 North Hagerstown 9 6 71 105 64 94 108 69 271 0.10 94 Old Mill 7 9 58 29 65 70 114 92 276 0.10 95 Glen Burnie 1 13 119 21 133 107 28 142 277 0.10 96 Tuscarora 5 12 79 46 128 76 78 123 277 0.10 97 NorthWest 8 7 88 124 90 100 102 78 280 0.10 98 SouthWestern 1 5 139 133 81 106 96 79 281 0.10 99 Kent County 5 9 82 68 105 104 70 110 284 0.10 100 Lake Clifton 1 6 142 104 82 111 93 80 284 0.10 101 Merganthaler-Mer 4 6 117 120 74 90 113 81 284 0.10 102 Catoctin 8 6 66 94 69 97 122 70 289 0.10 103 Dunbar 3 5 122 134 70 101 128 71 300 0.10 104 JM Bennett 4 9 86 65 115 109 76 117 302 0.10 105 Joppatowne 4 8 105 80 96 92 120 90 302 0.10 106 Paint Branch 6 9 118 118 116 108 86 109 303 0.10 107 Long Reach 2 10 81 27 111 110 72 124 306 0.10 108 Edmondson 4 6 138 144 88 98 126 85 309 0.10 109 Great Mills 3 10 112 77 129 112 68 130 310 0.10 110 Frederick 6 9 84 60 104 84 132 97 313 0.10 111 Einstein 7 6 106 143 73 105 133 76 314 0.10 112 Randallstown 5 6 123 142 85 103 137 82 322 0.10 113 Westlake 2 10 131 72 132 119 75 131 325 0.10 114 Dundalk 6 7 104 123 94 113 129 88 330 0.10 115 Western STES 4 8 129 137 110 114 110 111 335 0.10 116 Blair 5 9 116 122 121 116 104 119 339 0.10 117 Francis Scott Ke 1 14 102 41 142 118 77 144 339 0.10 118 Parkville 7 6 99 129 75 117 145 77 339 0.10 119 W.E.B. DuBois 0 5 149 127 87 140 115 84 339 0.10 120 Hammond 1 14 113 34 146 129 63 149 341 0.10 121 Gov. Thomas John 4 12 100 79 141 121 87 138 346 0.10 122 Gaithersburg 1 12 134 100 144 134 79 136 349 0.10 123 Digital Harbor 3 7 126 141 103 115 136 101 352 0.10 124 Sparrows Point 5 6 96 121 86 124 148 83 355 0.10 125 Carver VoTech 1 8 144 140 117 126 117 116 359 0.10 126 Lansdowne 1 11 137 102 135 137 90 133 360 0.10 127 Magruder 2 11 133 108 138 127 95 139 361 0.10 128 Bohemia Manor 4 8 111 107 100 120 149 93 362 0.10 129 MJ McDonough 1 12 127 82 145 136 82 145 363 0.10 130 Smithsburg 6 8 75 89 98 122 147 95 364 0.10 131 Milford Mill 4 9 135 138 123 125 121 121 367 0.10 132 Elkton 2 11 121 92 137 130 107 134 371 0.10 133 Perryville 3 9 128 112 125 128 125 122 375 0.10 134 Meade 1 13 120 24 124 123 123 135 381 0.10 135 Wicomico 0 13 136 61 149 143 91 148 382 0.10 136 Carver A&T 1 9 141 125 126 131 127 125 383 0.10 137 Northwood 5 8 132 145 108 135 140 108 383 0.10 138 Lackey 0 12 143 86 148 142 97 147 386 0.10 139 Edgewood 3 12 124 110 143 139 106 143 388 0.10 140 North Caroline 1 12 115 64 136 132 119 137 388 0.10 141 Patterson 1 8 146 135 119 138 134 118 390 0.10 142 Brunswick 4 11 103 84 130 133 142 129 404 0.10 143 Seneca Valley 0 13 148 115 150 146 109 150 405 0.10 144 Southside Academ 0 8 150 147 122 147 138 120 405 0.10 145 South Hagerstown 3 9 109 95 113 141 150 115 406 0.10 146 Overlea 1 9 140 111 127 144 144 126 414 0.10 147 Wheaton 2 11 145 131 139 145 135 140 420 0.10 148 Boonsboro 1 11 114 97 134 149 146 132 427 0.10 149 Patapsco 1 12 130 116 140 148 139 141 428 0.10 150 Kennedy 1 12 147 136 147 150 143 146 439 0.10
<