Region = VA    Nationl          
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Greg Beer             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.8726654    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 H Centreville            VA    Concord (11- 6, 89.5)     9-10  o
 315 H Mount Vernon           VA    Nationl ( 5-12, 76.4)    17- 4   
 321 A McLean                 VA    Liberty ( 9- 6, 89.1)    12- 9   
 323 A Westfield              VA    Concord ( 5-12, 85.2)     5-10   
 328 N Madison                VA    Liberty (18- 6, 93.7)     5- 6   
 403 A Chantilly              VA    Concord (21- 2, 99.9)     4- 8   
 405 H Oakton                 VA    Concord ( 9- 4, 90.3)     2- 6   
 409 H Falls Church           VA    Nationl ( 2-10, 72.8)    16- 6   
 410 A South Lakes            VA    Liberty ( 5- 8, 83.1)    10- 4   
 413 A Hayfield               VA    Nationl ( 5- 7, 79.0)    12-11   
 416 A J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Nationl ( 1-11, 69.1)    19- 2   
 418 H Washington-Lee         VA    Nationl (10- 7, 82.8)    14- 5   
 426 H Wakefield HS           VA    Nationl ( 3-11, 67.2)    18- 3   
 429 A Edison                 VA    Nationl (16- 2, 93.3)    11- 9   
 503 H Wakefield HS           VA    Nationl ( 3-11, 67.2)    15- 0   
 507 N Mount Vernon           VA    Nationl ( 5-12, 76.4)    15- 6   
 511 H Edison                 VA    Nationl (16- 2, 93.3)     4- 9   
 514 H Stone Bridge           VA    Liberty (11- 4, 92.7)    11-10  o
 516 A Chantilly              VA    Concord (21- 2, 99.9)     4- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Centreville             9-10  o   -1     0          -1.44
   315 H Mount Vernon           17- 4      13    13           0.00
   321 A McLean                 12- 9       3    -1    ++     4.17
   323 A Westfield               5-10      -5     2    ---   -7.74
   328 N Madison                 5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.77
   403 A Chantilly               4- 8      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   405 H Oakton                  2- 6      -4     0    -     -3.63
   409 H Falls Church           16- 6      10    17           0.00
   410 A South Lakes            10- 4       6     4           1.19
   413 A Hayfield               12-11       1     8    ---   -7.88
   416 A J.E.B. Stuart          19- 2      17    18           0.00
   418 H Washington-Lee         14- 5       9     7           1.86
   426 H Wakefield HS           18- 3      15    22           0.00
   429 A Edison                 11- 9       2    -5    +++    7.43
   503 H Wakefield HS           15- 0      15    22           0.00
   507 N Mount Vernon           15- 6       9    12          -1.00
   511 H Edison                  4- 9      -5    -3          -1.57
   514 H Stone Bridge           11-10  o    1    -2    +      3.85
   516 A Chantilly               4- 9      -5   -11    ++     5.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Westfield               5-10      -5     2    ---   -7.74
   413 A Hayfield               12-11       1     8    ---   -7.88
   405 H Oakton                  2- 6      -4     0    -     -3.63

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Chantilly               4- 8      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   429 A Edison                 11- 9       2    -5    +++    7.43
   321 A McLean                 12- 9       3    -1    ++     4.17
   516 A Chantilly               4- 9      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   328 N Madison                 5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.77
   514 H Stone Bridge           11-10  o    1    -2    +      3.85
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.90 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.95 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/