Conf =  CathCon                   Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Hawks                Coach  =   Tim Gardner           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.3982086    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1          (13- 7, 94.3)    13- 7   
 404 A Malden Catholic        MA 1          ( 6-12, 80.8)    15- 4   
 406 A Lincoln-Sudbury        MA 1          (18- 3, 99.9)     5-10   
 409 H Boston College HS      MA 1          (12-10, 91.5)     9- 7   
 413 H Needham                MA 1          (17- 3, 97.3)     5- 7   
 416 A Duxbury                MA 1          (16- 6, 96.4)     5-21   
 418 A Medfield               MA 2          (22- 4, 98.2)     4- 7   
 423 A Catholic Memorial      MA 2          (11-10, 91.2)    17-14   
 425 A St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1          (13- 7, 94.3)    10- 9   
 427 H Walpole                MA 2          (11- 8, 86.8)    12- 7   
 430 H Malden Catholic        MA 1          ( 6-12, 80.8)    15- 7   
 502 H St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2  Cathlc  (18- 4, 99.9)     8-11   
 507 A Westford Academy       MA 1          (13- 9, 91.5)     7- 6  o
 511 A Foxborough             MA 2          (13- 8, 87.2)     7- 2   
 515 A Boston College HS      MA 1          (12-10, 91.5)     8- 9   
 518 H Catholic Memorial      MA 2          (11-10, 91.2)    12- 8   
 520 H Chelmsford             MA 1          ( 9-13, 83.6)    17- 5   
 522 A Billerica              MA 1          (16- 7, 90.8)     9- 6   
 601 H Westford Academy       MA 1          (13- 9, 91.5)     9- 4   
 604 A Needham                MA 1          (17- 3, 97.3)    13-10   
 608 H Boston College HS      MA 1          (12-10, 91.5)     8- 7  o
 612 N Lincoln-Sudbury        MA 1          (18- 3, 99.9)     9- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H St Johns Prep Danvers  13- 7       6     2    +      3.61
   404 A Malden Catholic        15- 4      11    14           0.00
   406 A Lincoln-Sudbury         5-10      -5    -4          -0.45
   409 H Boston College HS       9- 7       2     5    -     -3.26
   413 H Needham                 5- 7      -2     0          -1.37
   416 A Duxbury                 5-21     -16    -1    ---   -8.92
   418 A Medfield                4- 7      -3    -2          -0.17
   423 A Catholic Memorial      17-14       3     4          -1.11
   425 A St Johns Prep Danvers  10- 9       1     1          -0.03
   427 H Walpole                12- 7       5     9    --    -4.88
   430 H Malden Catholic        15- 7       8    15    -     -2.00
   502 H St Johns Shrewsbury     8-11      -3    -3          n/a  
   507 A Westford Academy        7- 6  o    1     3    -     -2.88
   511 A Foxborough              7- 2       5     8    -     -3.12
   515 A Boston College HS       8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.90
   518 H Catholic Memorial      12- 8       4     5          -1.48
   520 H Chelmsford             17- 5      12    13           0.00
   522 A Billerica               9- 6       3     4          -1.52
   601 H Westford Academy        9- 4       5     5          -0.25
   604 A Needham                13-10       3    -1    ++     4.99
   608 H Boston College HS       8- 7  o    1     5    --    -4.26
   612 N Lincoln-Sudbury         9- 5       4    -3    +++    7.87

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Duxbury                 5-21     -16    -1    ---   -8.92
   427 H Walpole                12- 7       5     9    --    -4.88
   515 A Boston College HS       8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.90
   608 H Boston College HS       8- 7  o    1     5    --    -4.26
   409 H Boston College HS       9- 7       2     5    -     -3.26
   430 H Malden Catholic        15- 7       8    15    -     -2.00
   507 A Westford Academy        7- 6  o    1     3    -     -2.88
   511 A Foxborough              7- 2       5     8    -     -3.12

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   612 N Lincoln-Sudbury         9- 5       4    -3    +++    7.87
   604 A Needham                13-10       3    -1    ++     4.99
   402 H St Johns Prep Danvers  13- 7       6     2    +      3.61
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.03 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 82.11 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating.175.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/