Conf =  SCIAC                     Region = CT L                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Scott Basile          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.9011993    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A South Windsor          CT L          ( 6-10, 79.1)     6- 4   
 405 H Shelton                CT L          ( 5-11, 80.0)     8- 4   
 408 A Notre Dame-West Haven  CT M          ( 9- 8, 83.6)     9- 3   
 411 H Branford               CT M          ( 9- 9, 81.3)    18- 5   
 416 A Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (10- 8, 89.8)    10- 9   
 418 H Cheshire HS            CT L          ( 8-10, 85.0)     9- 6   
 422 A Morgan-Clinton         CT S          (13- 6, 84.9)    16- 9   
 424 A Simsbury               CT L          (17- 4, 92.2)     7-10   
 426 H Fairfield-Ludlowe      CT L          (10- 8, 89.9)     9- 5   
 430 H Amity Regional         CT L          ( 9- 8, 85.8)     9- 2   
 502 A Hamden                 CT L          ( 8- 9, 75.3)    16- 2   
 503 A North Haven            CT M          ( 8- 9, 83.2)     7- 5   
 507 A Conard-West Hartford   CT L          ( 8-10, 84.4)    11- 3   
 510 H Guilford               CT M          (14- 6, 92.1)     6- 7   
 513 A Fairfield Prep         CT L          (18- 4, 99.9)     2-17   
 516 A Newtown                CT L          (10- 8, 89.3)     6- 8   
 521 N Guilford               CT M          (14- 6, 92.1)     7- 8   
 530 N Fairfield-Ludlowe      CT L          (10- 8, 89.9)     8- 6   
 601 A Fairfield Prep         CT L          (18- 4, 99.9)     2-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A South Windsor           6- 4       2    10    ---   -8.00
   405 H Shelton                 8- 4       4    12    ---   -6.00
   408 A Notre Dame-West Haven   9- 3       6     5           0.06
   411 H Branford               18- 5      13    10           0.00
   416 A Daniel Hand-Madison    10- 9       1     0           1.22
   418 H Cheshire HS             9- 6       3     7    --    -4.07
   422 A Morgan-Clinton         16- 9       7     4    +      2.33
   424 A Simsbury                7-10      -3    -2          -0.33
   426 H Fairfield-Ludlowe       9- 5       4     2           1.79
   430 H Amity Regional          9- 2       7     6           0.74
   502 A Hamden                 16- 2      14    14           0.00
   503 A North Haven             7- 5       2     6    --    -4.37
   507 A Conard-West Hartford   11- 3       8     5    +      2.81
   510 H Guilford                6- 7      -1     0          -1.03
   513 A Fairfield Prep          2-17     -15   -10           0.00
   516 A Newtown                 6- 8      -2     0    -     -2.28
   521 N Guilford                7- 8      -1    -1           0.24
   530 N Fairfield-Ludlowe       8- 6       2     0           1.06
   601 A Fairfield Prep          2-14     -12   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A South Windsor           6- 4       2    10    ---   -8.00
   405 H Shelton                 8- 4       4    12    ---   -6.00
   418 H Cheshire HS             9- 6       3     7    --    -4.07
   503 A North Haven             7- 5       2     6    --    -4.37
   516 A Newtown                 6- 8      -2     0    -     -2.28

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Morgan-Clinton         16- 9       7     4    +      2.33
   507 A Conard-West Hartford   11- 3       8     5    +      2.81
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.84 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.82 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/