Region = MD 32 West             
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Jesse Metruk          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.6093597    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 A North Carroll          MD 21 West    (11- 5, 86.1)    12-11   
 322 N Patterson Mill         MD 21 North   (10-10, 81.2)     6- 7 4o
 326 A Francis Scott Key      MD 21 West    ( 1-14, 66.9)    16- 9   
 328 H Oakdale                MD 21 West    (10- 8, 81.0)    16- 3   
 330 A Fallston               MD 21 East    (16- 4, 90.1)     6-11   
 330 N Northern/Calv Cty      MD 43 East    (12- 3, 89.9)     7- 6  o
 409 A Linganore              MD 43 North   ( 5- 9, 74.7)    17- 5   
 411 A Liberty                MD 32 West    ( 8- 7, 79.6)    15- 6   
 416 H Manchester Valley      MD 21 West    ( 6- 9, 75.3)    11- 3   
 418 H Westminster            MD 43 North   (19- 0, 99.9)     5-18   
 424 H Tuscarora              MD 43 North   ( 5-12, 72.7)    12- 6   
 430 A South Carroll          MD 21 West    (10- 7, 85.1)    15- 9   
 502 H Century                MD 32 West    (11- 8, 82.6)     7- 8 2o
 504 H Wootton                MD 43 West    (12- 3, 90.2)    12-17   
 508 H Liberty                MD 32 West    ( 8- 7, 79.6)     9- 3   
 511 A Walkersville           MD 32 West    ( 9- 5, 81.6)    15- 7   
 513 A Middletown             MD 32 West    (12- 3, 87.8)     8- 7   
 515 H Century                MD 32 West    (11- 8, 82.6)     7- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A North Carroll          12-11       1     0           1.36
   322 N Patterson Mill          6- 7 4o   -1     4    --    -5.97
   326 A Francis Scott Key      16- 9       7    18    -     -3.00
   328 H Oakdale                16- 3      13     5    ++     4.32
   330 A Fallston                6-11      -5    -4          -0.58
   330 N Northern/Calv Cty       7- 6  o    1    -3    ++     4.73
   409 A Linganore              17- 5      12    10           0.00
   411 A Liberty                15- 6       9     6    +      2.84
   416 H Manchester Valley      11- 3       8    11    -     -2.00
   418 H Westminster             5-18     -13   -13           0.00
   424 H Tuscarora              12- 6       6    13    --    -4.00
   430 A South Carroll          15- 9       6     0    ++     5.35
   502 H Century                 7- 8 2o   -1     4    --    -5.09
   504 H Wootton                12-17      -5    -3          -1.46
   508 H Liberty                 9- 3       6     7          -1.13
   511 A Walkersville           15- 7       8     4    +      3.84
   513 A Middletown              8- 7       1    -2    +      3.07
   515 H Century                 7- 8      -1     4    --    -5.09

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 N Patterson Mill          6- 7 4o   -1     4    --    -5.97
   424 H Tuscarora              12- 6       6    13    --    -4.00
   502 H Century                 7- 8 2o   -1     4    --    -5.09
   515 H Century                 7- 8      -1     4    --    -5.09
   326 A Francis Scott Key      16- 9       7    18    -     -3.00
   416 H Manchester Valley      11- 3       8    11    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Oakdale                16- 3      13     5    ++     4.32
   330 N Northern/Calv Cty       7- 6  o    1    -3    ++     4.73
   430 A South Carroll          15- 9       6     0    ++     5.35
   411 A Liberty                15- 6       9     6    +      2.84
   511 A Walkersville           15- 7       8     4    +      3.84
   513 A Middletown              8- 7       1    -2    +      3.07
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.21 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.98 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   149
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    38
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/