Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colonials            Coach  =   Desmond Megna         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.1293030    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (15- 3, 91.1)     5-13   
 330 A Miller Place           NY B  Sec 11  (14- 6, 86.3)     5-15   
 403 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 77.5)     3- 8   
 405 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 70.5)    11-10   
 409 A Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 66.0)    11- 4   
 411 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  (11- 5, 79.0)     5-13   
 413 N New Fairfield          CT M          (15- 6, 89.9)     7- 8  o
 417 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 83.8)     1-11   
 419 H Hauppauge              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 78.7)     7- 8 2o
 423 A Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-17, 56.1)    14- 2   
 425 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 79.4)    10-11   
 429 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 80.3)     8- 9 2o
 502 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (22- 0, 99.9)     5-20   
 504 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 77.2)     2-10   
 507 H Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 79.7)     5- 8   
 510 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 70.5)    14-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Northport               5-13      -8   -17    +      2.00
   330 A Miller Place            5-15     -10   -14           0.00
   403 H East Islip              3- 8      -5    -4          -0.75
   405 H Longwood               11-10       1     2          -1.79
   409 A Copiague               11- 4       7     6           0.97
   411 A Patchogue-Medford       5-13      -8    -6          -1.02
   413 N New Fairfield           7- 8  o   -1   -17          n/a  
   417 A Sachem North            1-11     -10   -11           0.00
   419 H Hauppauge               7- 8 2o   -1    -5    ++     4.40
   423 A Brentwood              14- 2      12    15           0.00
   425 H Sachem East            10-11      -1    -6    ++     5.12
   429 A Riverhead               8- 9 2o   -1    -8    +++    7.36
   502 A Ward Melville           5-20     -15   -27           0.00
   504 H Middle Country          2-10      -8    -3    --    -4.09
   507 H Half Hollow Hills West  5- 8      -3    -6    +      3.45
   510 A North Babylon          14-13       1     1          -0.43

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Middle Country          2-10      -8    -3    --    -4.09

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 N New Fairfield           7- 8  o   -1   -17    +++        
   429 A Riverhead               8- 9 2o   -1    -8    +++    7.36
   419 H Hauppauge               7- 8 2o   -1    -5    ++     4.40
   425 H Sachem East            10-11      -1    -6    ++     5.12
   325 H Northport               5-13      -8   -17    +      2.00
   507 H Half Hollow Hills West  5- 8      -3    -6    +      3.45
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.62 Local Power Rank...........    35
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.34 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    35
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    47
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    35
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/