Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Flames               Coach  =   Ed Greenway           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.5421295    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 319 A Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   ( 7-12, 81.8)     9- 8  o
 327 A St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   (12- 7, 88.5)     9-10   
 409 A Niagara Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 85.9)    11-15   
 411 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 73.0)    17- 5   
 416 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-10, 76.8)    15- 4   
 418 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 3, 94.9)     5-13   
 423 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 2- 9, 69.7)    18- 3   
 425 H North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-13, 67.8)    20- 3   
 427 A Amherst Central        NY C  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 77.6)     9- 5   
 430 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 81.9)     9-10  o
 506 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 78.7)    18- 5   
 507 H Iroquois Central       NY B  Sec 6   (10- 8, 83.8)     9-10  o
 509 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   (11- 6, 84.8)    11-10   
 513 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 70.8)    20- 3   
 514 H Lake Shore Central     NY C  Sec 6   ( 9- 7, 83.1)    18-11   
 515 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (11- 6, 83.8)    15- 9   
 517 H North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-13, 67.8)    20- 6   
 520 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   (11- 6, 84.8)     7- 6   
 523 A Niagara Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 85.9)    13-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Nichols                 9- 8  o    1     5    --    -4.55
   327 A St Joseph Collegiate    9-10      -1    -1           0.20
   409 A Niagara Wheatfield     11-15      -4     1    --    -5.43
   411 H West Seneca West       17- 5      12    15           0.00
   416 A Sweet Home             15- 4      11    10           0.00
   418 A Hamburg                 5-13      -8    -7          -0.47
   423 H Williamsville South    18- 3      15    18           0.00
   425 H North Tonawanda        20- 3      17    20           0.00
   427 A Amherst Central         9- 5       4     9    --    -5.71
   430 A West Seneca East        9-10  o   -1     5    ---   -6.41
   506 A Lancaster              18- 5      13     8           1.33
   507 H Iroquois Central        9-10  o   -1     4    --    -5.67
   509 H Williamsville North    11-10       1     3    -     -2.68
   513 H Grand Island           20- 3      17    17           0.00
   514 H Lake Shore Central     18-11       7     5           1.64
   515 A East Aurora            15- 9       6     3    +      2.50
   517 H North Tonawanda        20- 6      14    20           0.00
   520 A Williamsville North     7- 6       1     2          -1.51
   523 A Niagara Wheatfield     13-14      -1     1    -     -2.43

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A West Seneca East        9-10  o   -1     5    ---   -6.41
   319 A Nichols                 9- 8  o    1     5    --    -4.55
   409 A Niagara Wheatfield     11-15      -4     1    --    -5.43
   427 A Amherst Central         9- 5       4     9    --    -5.71
   507 H Iroquois Central        9-10  o   -1     4    --    -5.67
   509 H Williamsville North    11-10       1     3    -     -2.68
   523 A Niagara Wheatfield     13-14      -1     1    -     -2.43

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 A East Aurora            15- 9       6     3    +      2.50
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.92 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.28 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.7
/