Region = PA    Div2-S2          
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Dan Mulford           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.1699371    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A North Hills            PA    Div2-S3 ( 1-12, 71.0)     8- 4   
 408 A Erie Cathedral Prep    PA    Indep   ( 8-11, 81.8)     3-16   
 410 H Canon-McMillan         PA    Div2-S2 (12- 6, 85.4)     5- 3   
 415 H Quaker Valley          PA    Div2-S3 (13- 4, 87.1)     3- 8   
 417 A Chartiers Valley       PA    Div2-S2 ( 5-10, 77.8)    10- 5   
 419 A Knoch                  PA    Indep   ( 1-11, 69.8)    14- 7   
 422 H Latrobe                PA    Div2-S1 ( 7- 8, 79.2)     5- 6   
 424 A Seton LaSalle          PA    Div2-S2 (15- 1, 93.1)     5-17   
 426 A Vincentian Academy     PA    Div2-S3 (12- 6, 84.3)     5- 9   
 501 H Moon Area              PA    Div2-S2 ( 9- 8, 80.8)     1- 7   
 503 A Trinity                PA    Div1-S1 ( 0-15, 66.4)    18- 4   
 506 H Norwin                 PA    Div2-S1 ( 5-10, 77.1)     9- 7   
 508 A Baldwin                PA    Div2-S2 (13- 6, 86.2)     6-11   
 513 A Latrobe                PA    Div2-S1 ( 7- 8, 79.2)     4-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A North Hills             8- 4       4     6    -     -2.80
   408 A Erie Cathedral Prep     3-16     -13    -3    ---   -6.08
   410 H Canon-McMillan          5- 3       2    -6    +++    8.32
   415 H Quaker Valley           3- 8      -5    -7    +      2.99
   417 A Chartiers Valley       10- 5       5     0    ++     4.91
   419 A Knoch                  14- 7       7     8          -1.05
   422 H Latrobe                 5- 6      -1     0          -0.88
   424 A Seton LaSalle           5-17     -12   -15           0.00
   426 A Vincentian Academy      5- 9      -4    -6    +      2.46
   501 H Moon Area               1- 7      -6    -1    --    -4.34
   503 A Trinity                18- 4      14    11           0.00
   506 H Norwin                  9- 7       2     2          -0.02
   508 A Baldwin                 6-11      -5    -8    +      3.33
   513 A Latrobe                 4-11      -7    -1    --    -5.61

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Erie Cathedral Prep     3-16     -13    -3    ---   -6.08
   501 H Moon Area               1- 7      -6    -1    --    -4.34
   513 A Latrobe                 4-11      -7    -1    --    -5.61
   405 A North Hills             8- 4       4     6    -     -2.80

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Canon-McMillan          5- 3       2    -6    +++    8.32
   417 A Chartiers Valley       10- 5       5     0    ++     4.91
   415 H Quaker Valley           3- 8      -5    -7    +      2.99
   426 A Vincentian Academy      5- 9      -4    -6    +      2.46
   508 A Baldwin                 6-11      -5    -8    +      3.33
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.48 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.96 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    40
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/