Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ    Grp-A            
   Nickname = J Lancers              Coach  =   Mike Dowd             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.4200439    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Long Branch            NJ 1  South   ( 0-19, 54.9)    16- 0   
 403 A Monsignor Donovan      NJ    Grp-A   ( 0-14, 61.0)    18- 4   
 406 H Old Bridge             NJ 4  North   (16- 2, 86.3)     2-13   
 408 H Brick Memorial         NJ 4  South   ( 7- 9, 76.2)     4- 5   
 410 H Shore Regional         NJ 1  South   (13- 5, 81.8)     3-13   
 415 H Marlboro               NJ 4  South   ( 6-11, 71.6)     9- 7   
 417 H St Rose Belmar         NJ    Grp-B   ( 3-12, 64.6)    10- 6   
 420 A East Brunswick         NJ 4  North   ( 4-11, 71.8)     7- 8   
 422 A Brick Township         NJ 3  South   (10- 7, 77.6)     4- 8   
 424 H Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-A   ( 4-11, 75.5)     7-18   
 426 H Holmdel                NJ 1  South   ( 9- 6, 81.6)     6-17   
 429 A Ranney School          NJ    Grp-B   ( 8- 7, 72.2)    11- 3   
 501 A Manasquan              NJ 1  South   (11- 8, 80.4)     0- 9   
 504 A Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ 1  South   (18- 3, 89.2)     2-16   
 506 H Toms River North       NJ 4  South   ( 4-11, 70.1)    11- 7   
 508 A Ocean Township         NJ 2  South   ( 4-12, 70.2)     9- 8   
 510 H Freehold Township      NJ 4  South   (15- 3, 85.0)    11-19   
 515 H Colts Neck             NJ 3  South   (12- 7, 80.9)     3- 9   
 521 A Seton Hall Prep        NJ    Grp-A   (11- 9, 90.4)     1-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Long Branch            16- 0      16    18           0.00
   403 A Monsignor Donovan      18- 4      14     9           0.53
   406 H Old Bridge              2-13     -11   -13           0.00
   408 H Brick Memorial          4- 5      -1    -3    +      2.07
   410 H Shore Regional          3-13     -10    -8          -1.39
   415 H Marlboro                9- 7       2     1           0.47
   417 H St Rose Belmar         10- 6       4     8    --    -4.58
   420 A East Brunswick          7- 8      -1    -1           0.32
   422 A Brick Township          4- 8      -4    -7    +      3.09
   424 H Red Bank Catholic       7-18     -11    -2    ---   -7.69
   426 H Holmdel                 6-17     -11    -8          -1.58
   429 A Ranney School          11- 3       8    -1    +++    9.71
   501 A Manasquan               0- 9      -9    -9           0.94
   504 A Rumson-Fair Haven       2-16     -14   -18           0.00
   506 H Toms River North       11- 7       4     3           0.98
   508 A Ocean Township          9- 8       1     0           0.71
   510 H Freehold Township      11-19      -8   -11    +      2.00
   515 H Colts Neck              3- 9      -6    -7           1.73
   521 A Seton Hall Prep         1-17     -16   -19           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Red Bank Catholic       7-18     -11    -2    ---   -7.69
   417 H St Rose Belmar         10- 6       4     8    --    -4.58

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Ranney School          11- 3       8    -1    +++    9.71
   408 H Brick Memorial          4- 5      -1    -3    +      2.07
   422 A Brick Township          4- 8      -4    -7    +      3.09
   510 H Freehold Township      11-19      -8   -11    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.83 Local Power Rank...........   140
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.49 Local SOS Rank.............   122
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............   131
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   157
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   143
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.0
/