Conf = Shore Region = NJ Grp-A Nickname = J Lancers Coach = Mike DowdGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 78.4200439 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 401 H Long Branch NJ 1 South ( 0-19, 54.9) 16- 0 403 A Monsignor Donovan NJ Grp-A ( 0-14, 61.0) 18- 4 406 H Old Bridge NJ 4 North (16- 2, 86.3) 2-13 408 H Brick Memorial NJ 4 South ( 7- 9, 76.2) 4- 5 410 H Shore Regional NJ 1 South (13- 5, 81.8) 3-13 415 H Marlboro NJ 4 South ( 6-11, 71.6) 9- 7 417 H St Rose Belmar NJ Grp-B ( 3-12, 64.6) 10- 6 420 A East Brunswick NJ 4 North ( 4-11, 71.8) 7- 8 422 A Brick Township NJ 3 South (10- 7, 77.6) 4- 8 424 H Red Bank Catholic NJ Grp-A ( 4-11, 75.5) 7-18 426 H Holmdel NJ 1 South ( 9- 6, 81.6) 6-17 429 A Ranney School NJ Grp-B ( 8- 7, 72.2) 11- 3 501 A Manasquan NJ 1 South (11- 8, 80.4) 0- 9 504 A Rumson-Fair Haven NJ 1 South (18- 3, 89.2) 2-16 506 H Toms River North NJ 4 South ( 4-11, 70.1) 11- 7 508 A Ocean Township NJ 2 South ( 4-12, 70.2) 9- 8 510 H Freehold Township NJ 4 South (15- 3, 85.0) 11-19 515 H Colts Neck NJ 3 South (12- 7, 80.9) 3- 9 521 A Seton Hall Prep NJ Grp-A (11- 9, 90.4) 1-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 H Long Branch 16- 0 16 18 0.00 403 A Monsignor Donovan 18- 4 14 9 0.53 406 H Old Bridge 2-13 -11 -13 0.00 408 H Brick Memorial 4- 5 -1 -3 + 2.07 410 H Shore Regional 3-13 -10 -8 -1.39 415 H Marlboro 9- 7 2 1 0.47 417 H St Rose Belmar 10- 6 4 8 -- -4.58 420 A East Brunswick 7- 8 -1 -1 0.32 422 A Brick Township 4- 8 -4 -7 + 3.09 424 H Red Bank Catholic 7-18 -11 -2 --- -7.69 426 H Holmdel 6-17 -11 -8 -1.58 429 A Ranney School 11- 3 8 -1 +++ 9.71 501 A Manasquan 0- 9 -9 -9 0.94 504 A Rumson-Fair Haven 2-16 -14 -18 0.00 506 H Toms River North 11- 7 4 3 0.98 508 A Ocean Township 9- 8 1 0 0.71 510 H Freehold Township 11-19 -8 -11 + 2.00 515 H Colts Neck 3- 9 -6 -7 1.73 521 A Seton Hall Prep 1-17 -16 -19 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 H Red Bank Catholic 7-18 -11 -2 --- -7.69 417 H St Rose Belmar 10- 6 4 8 -- -4.58OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 429 A Ranney School 11- 3 8 -1 +++ 9.71 408 H Brick Memorial 4- 5 -1 -3 + 2.07 422 A Brick Township 4- 8 -4 -7 + 3.09 510 H Freehold Township 11-19 -8 -11 + 2.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 71.83 Local Power Rank........... 140 Local SOS Rating......... 51.49 Local SOS Rank............. 122 Local RPI Rating......... 0.44 Local RPI Rank............. 131 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 157 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 143 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-12 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -16.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -10.0