Region = MI 1                   
   Nickname = I Colts                Coach  =   Nate Reynolds         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.3316498    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 A Notre Dame Prep        MI 2          (17- 3, 89.3)     9-10 2o
 326 A Grosse Pointe South    MI 1          (11- 7, 80.3)     8- 9  o
 416 H Rochester Adams        MI 2          ( 9-10, 77.4)    12- 7   
 420 H Novi                   MI 1          (12- 7, 83.5)    11- 9   
 423 A Bloomfield Hills       MI 1          ( 7-10, 76.9)     8- 7   
 427 H Romeo                  MI 1          ( 7-11, 72.7)    16- 4   
 501 H Bishop Foley           MI 2          (11- 6, 76.0)    17- 8   
 502 H Rochester Stoney Creek MI 1          ( 8- 9, 74.7)    13- 5   
 504 A Saline                 MI 1          (11- 7, 82.2)    10-12   
 507 A Northville             MI 1          (10-10, 81.4)     9- 6   
 509 H Troy Athens            MI 1          ( 9-10, 82.9)     5- 9   
 511 H Utica Eisenhower       MI 1          (13- 4, 86.0)     6- 3   
 514 A Birmingham-Seaholm     MI 1          (10-10, 83.9)     8-11   
 515 A Farmington             MI 2          ( 3-14, 69.5)    13- 4   
 518 A Clarkston              MI 1          (16- 3, 94.1)     5-18   
 520 H Lapeer West-East       MI 1          ( 2- 8, 67.3)    16- 2   
 522 H Midland                MI 1          (12- 6, 78.4)    14- 8   
 528 N Brother Rice           MI 1          (18- 5, 99.9)     6-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Notre Dame Prep         9-10 2o   -1    -8    +++    7.04
   326 A Grosse Pointe South     8- 9  o   -1     0          -1.99
   416 H Rochester Adams        12- 7       5     7    -     -2.28
   420 H Novi                   11- 9       2     1           0.88
   423 A Bloomfield Hills        8- 7       1     4    -     -3.32
   427 H Romeo                  16- 4      12    11           0.00
   501 H Bishop Foley           17- 8       9     8           0.36
   502 H Rochester Stoney Creek 13- 5       8     9          -1.96
   504 A Saline                 10-12      -2     0          -1.06
   507 A Northville              9- 6       3     0    +      3.11
   509 H Troy Athens             5- 9      -4     1    --    -5.77
   511 H Utica Eisenhower        6- 3       3    -1    ++     4.38
   514 A Birmingham-Seaholm      8-11      -3    -2          -0.42
   515 A Farmington             13- 4       9    11          -1.00
   518 A Clarkston               5-18     -13   -12           0.00
   520 H Lapeer West-East       16- 2      14    17           0.00
   522 H Midland                14- 8       6     6          -0.22
   528 N Brother Rice            6-17     -11   -16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H Troy Athens             5- 9      -4     1    --    -5.77
   416 H Rochester Adams        12- 7       5     7    -     -2.28
   423 A Bloomfield Hills        8- 7       1     4    -     -3.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Notre Dame Prep         9-10 2o   -1    -8    +++    7.04
   511 H Utica Eisenhower        6- 3       3    -1    ++     4.38
   507 A Northville              9- 6       3     0    +      3.11
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.95 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.94 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    90
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    36
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/