Conf =  D1                        Region = CA    Marin            
   Nickname = A Red-Tailed Haw       Coach  = s Mike Smith            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.8625259    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 226 H Bella Vista            CA    SanJoq  ( 6-13, 83.5)    10-18   
 228 A Serra-San Mateo        CA    WCAL    (10-10, 81.6)     9-23   
 305 A Miramonte              CA    DFAL    (12-10, 85.3)     5-12   
 308 H Cardinal Newman        CA    Marin   (11-12, 82.4)     4- 7   
 312 A Marin Catholic         CA    Marin   (17- 7, 95.0)     3-20   
 316 H Urban School           CA    BayArea ( 8-10, 76.9)     7- 8   
 319 A Redwood                CA    Marin   (20- 6, 99.9)     3-16   
 321 A Novato                 CA    Marin   (21- 5, 97.9)     4-24   
 325 H San Rafael             CA    Marin   ( 5-10, 75.0)    18- 8   
 328 A Terra Linda            CA    Marin   ( 9- 9, 80.7)    11-13   
 402 H Branson                CA    Marin   ( 4-13, 74.0)    17- 9   
 418 H San Marin              CA    Marin   ( 0-11, 60.9)    12- 3   
 419 A Davis                  CA    SanJoq  (17- 4, 94.7)     4-17   
 420 H Jesuit-Sacramento      CA    SanJoq  (13- 8, 88.5)     5-14   
 423 H Justin Siena           CA    Marin   ( 5-10, 76.8)    12- 7   
 425 A Sir Francis Drake      CA    Marin   ( 6- 9, 77.7)    14- 3   
 430 A Cardinal Newman        CA    Marin   (11-12, 82.4)     7-10   
 503 H University SF          CA    BayArea (11-10, 86.0)    12-11   
 507 A Cardinal Newman        CA    Marin   (11-12, 82.4)    16- 7   
 509 A Redwood                CA    Marin   (20- 6, 99.9)     2-21   
 515 N Marin Academy          CA    BayArea (16- 5, 91.3)     3-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 H Bella Vista            10-18      -8    -4    -     -3.80
   228 A Serra-San Mateo         9-23     -14    -3          n/a  
   305 A Miramonte               5-12      -7    -7           0.57
   308 H Cardinal Newman         4- 7      -3    -3           0.08
   312 A Marin Catholic          3-20     -17   -17           0.00
   316 H Urban School            7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.38
   319 A Redwood                 3-16     -13   -22           0.00
   321 A Novato                  4-24     -20   -20           0.00
   325 H San Rafael             18- 8      10     4    ++     5.65
   328 A Terra Linda            11-13      -2    -2           0.93
   402 H Branson                17- 9       8     5    +      2.71
   418 H San Marin              12- 3       9    18          -1.00
   419 A Davis                   4-17     -13   -16           0.00
   420 H Jesuit-Sacramento       5-14      -9    -9           0.20
   423 H Justin Siena           12- 7       5     2    +      2.44
   425 A Sir Francis Drake      14- 3      11     0    +++    9.93
   430 A Cardinal Newman         7-10      -3    -4           1.67
   503 H University SF          12-11       1    -6    +++    7.66
   507 A Cardinal Newman        16- 7       9    -4    +++   13.67
   509 A Redwood                 2-21     -19   -22           0.00
   515 N Marin Academy           3-17     -14   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Serra-San Mateo         9-23     -14    -3    ---        
   226 H Bella Vista            10-18      -8    -4    -     -3.80
   316 H Urban School            7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Sir Francis Drake      14- 3      11     0    +++    9.93
   503 H University SF          12-11       1    -6    +++    7.66
   507 A Cardinal Newman        16- 7       9    -4    +++   13.67
   325 H San Rafael             18- 8      10     4    ++     5.65
   402 H Branson                17- 9       8     5    +      2.71
   423 H Justin Siena           12- 7       5     2    +      2.44
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.52 Local Power Rank...........    35
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.01 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    25
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    46
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    38
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -17.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -16.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.0
/