Conf =  ECIAC                     Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Paul Deon             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.6888275    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A Fitch-Groton           CT M          ( 7-10, 76.2)    10- 2   
 406 A Guilford               CT M          (14- 6, 92.1)     4- 7   
 409 A Waterford              CT M          ( 8-10, 77.4)    13- 3   
 411 H East Lyme              CT M          (15- 5, 90.6)     7- 6   
 413 H Old Lyme               CT S          ( 9- 9, 77.8)     9- 4   
 416 A Saint Bernard          CT S          ( 5-11, 70.2)    15- 1   
 418 H Ledyard                CT S          (11- 7, 82.5)    12- 8   
 425 A Norwich Free Academy   CT L          ( 5-11, 76.3)    14- 5   
 427 H Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (10- 8, 89.8)     5- 9   
 429 H Bacon Academy          CT S          (10- 8, 81.7)    16- 8   
 502 H Waterford              CT M          ( 8-10, 77.4)    12- 1   
 506 A Moses Brown            RI 1  Div-1   ( 9- 7, 85.3)     8- 9   
 509 H Saint Bernard          CT S          ( 5-11, 70.2)    16- 4   
 514 A Ledyard                CT S          (11- 7, 82.5)    10- 9   
 516 N Wheeler-No Stonington  CT S          ( 0-15, 57.8)    19- 2   
 518 A Wheeler-No Stonington  CT S          ( 0-15, 57.8)    17- 4   
 522 N Bacon Academy          CT S          (10- 8, 81.7)    16- 7   
 524 A East Lyme              CT M          (15- 5, 90.6)     9-15   
 529 H Old Lyme               CT S          ( 9- 9, 77.8)    15- 2   
 601 H Valley Regional        CT S          (12- 6, 80.1)    16- 6   
 605 N St Joseph-Trumbull     CT S          (12- 9, 89.7)     6- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Fitch-Groton           10- 2       8    11    -     -2.00
   406 A Guilford                4- 7      -3    -4           1.84
   409 A Waterford              13- 3      10     9           0.16
   411 H East Lyme               7- 6       1     0           1.86
   413 H Old Lyme                9- 4       5    11    --    -5.00
   416 A Saint Bernard          15- 1      14    17           0.00
   418 H Ledyard                12- 8       4     7    -     -3.24
   425 A Norwich Free Academy   14- 5       9    10          -1.00
   427 H Daniel Hand-Madison     5- 9      -4     0    -     -3.98
   429 H Bacon Academy          16- 8       8     8          -0.07
   502 H Waterford              12- 1      11    12           0.00
   506 A Moses Brown             8- 9      -1     2          n/a  
   509 H Saint Bernard          16- 4      12    19           0.00
   514 A Ledyard                10- 9       1     4    -     -3.71
   516 N Wheeler-No Stonington  19- 2      17    30           0.00
   518 A Wheeler-No Stonington  17- 4      13    29           0.00
   522 N Bacon Academy          16- 7       9     6    +      2.20
   524 A East Lyme               9-15      -6    -3    -     -2.60
   529 H Old Lyme               15- 2      13    11           0.00
   601 H Valley Regional        16- 6      10     9           0.37
   605 N St Joseph-Trumbull      6- 9      -3    -1          -1.81

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 H Old Lyme                9- 4       5    11    --    -5.00
   404 A Fitch-Groton           10- 2       8    11    -     -2.00
   418 H Ledyard                12- 8       4     7    -     -3.24
   427 H Daniel Hand-Madison     5- 9      -4     0    -     -3.98
   506 A Moses Brown             8- 9      -1     2    -          
   514 A Ledyard                10- 9       1     4    -     -3.71
   524 A East Lyme               9-15      -6    -3    -     -2.60

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 N Bacon Academy          16- 7       9     6    +      2.20
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.51 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.46 Local SOS Rank.............    48
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    72
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.7
/