Conf = ECIAC Region = CT S Nickname = T Bears Coach = Paul DeonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.6888275 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 404 A Fitch-Groton CT M ( 7-10, 76.2) 10- 2 406 A Guilford CT M (14- 6, 92.1) 4- 7 409 A Waterford CT M ( 8-10, 77.4) 13- 3 411 H East Lyme CT M (15- 5, 90.6) 7- 6 413 H Old Lyme CT S ( 9- 9, 77.8) 9- 4 416 A Saint Bernard CT S ( 5-11, 70.2) 15- 1 418 H Ledyard CT S (11- 7, 82.5) 12- 8 425 A Norwich Free Academy CT L ( 5-11, 76.3) 14- 5 427 H Daniel Hand-Madison CT M (10- 8, 89.8) 5- 9 429 H Bacon Academy CT S (10- 8, 81.7) 16- 8 502 H Waterford CT M ( 8-10, 77.4) 12- 1 506 A Moses Brown RI 1 Div-1 ( 9- 7, 85.3) 8- 9 509 H Saint Bernard CT S ( 5-11, 70.2) 16- 4 514 A Ledyard CT S (11- 7, 82.5) 10- 9 516 N Wheeler-No Stonington CT S ( 0-15, 57.8) 19- 2 518 A Wheeler-No Stonington CT S ( 0-15, 57.8) 17- 4 522 N Bacon Academy CT S (10- 8, 81.7) 16- 7 524 A East Lyme CT M (15- 5, 90.6) 9-15 529 H Old Lyme CT S ( 9- 9, 77.8) 15- 2 601 H Valley Regional CT S (12- 6, 80.1) 16- 6 605 N St Joseph-Trumbull CT S (12- 9, 89.7) 6- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Fitch-Groton 10- 2 8 11 - -2.00 406 A Guilford 4- 7 -3 -4 1.84 409 A Waterford 13- 3 10 9 0.16 411 H East Lyme 7- 6 1 0 1.86 413 H Old Lyme 9- 4 5 11 -- -5.00 416 A Saint Bernard 15- 1 14 17 0.00 418 H Ledyard 12- 8 4 7 - -3.24 425 A Norwich Free Academy 14- 5 9 10 -1.00 427 H Daniel Hand-Madison 5- 9 -4 0 - -3.98 429 H Bacon Academy 16- 8 8 8 -0.07 502 H Waterford 12- 1 11 12 0.00 506 A Moses Brown 8- 9 -1 2 n/a 509 H Saint Bernard 16- 4 12 19 0.00 514 A Ledyard 10- 9 1 4 - -3.71 516 N Wheeler-No Stonington 19- 2 17 30 0.00 518 A Wheeler-No Stonington 17- 4 13 29 0.00 522 N Bacon Academy 16- 7 9 6 + 2.20 524 A East Lyme 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.60 529 H Old Lyme 15- 2 13 11 0.00 601 H Valley Regional 16- 6 10 9 0.37 605 N St Joseph-Trumbull 6- 9 -3 -1 -1.81UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 413 H Old Lyme 9- 4 5 11 -- -5.00 404 A Fitch-Groton 10- 2 8 11 - -2.00 418 H Ledyard 12- 8 4 7 - -3.24 427 H Daniel Hand-Madison 5- 9 -4 0 - -3.98 506 A Moses Brown 8- 9 -1 2 - 514 A Ledyard 10- 9 1 4 - -3.71 524 A East Lyme 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.60OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 522 N Bacon Academy 16- 7 9 6 + 2.20/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 88.51 Local Power Rank........... 22 Local SOS Rating......... 57.46 Local SOS Rank............. 48 Local RPI Rating......... 0.58 Local RPI Rank............. 22 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 72 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 14 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 5.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 6.7