Conf =  GMC                       Region = NJ    Grp-A            
   Nickname = J Falcons              Coach  =   Marc Moreau           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.5639648    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Old Bridge             NJ 4  North   (16- 2, 86.3)     6- 7   
 403 A Lawrenceville          NJ    Private (13- 7, 93.4)     3-15   
 404 A Edison                 NJ 4  North   ( 5-11, 66.5)    13- 0   
 410 A Bergen Catholic        NJ    Grp-A   (12- 5, 92.7)     3-13   
 411 A East Brunswick         NJ 4  North   ( 4-11, 71.8)     5- 4 2o
 416 H North Brunswick        NJ 4  North   ( 2-14, 63.5)    18- 3   
 418 A Monroe Township        NJ 4  South   (14- 9, 83.9)     8-13   
 419 H J.P. Stevens           NJ 4  North   ( 3-13, 59.5)    17- 2   
 421 H Bishop Guertin         NH 1          (17- 4, 97.4)     9-13   
 424 A Mountain Lakes         NJ 1  North   (15- 6, 91.5)     5-15   
 425 A South Brunswick        NJ 4  South   ( 8- 7, 80.2)    10- 8   
 429 A Scotch Plains Fanwood  NJ 3  North   (15- 6, 84.3)     6-11   
 502 H Rutgers Prep           NJ    Grp-B   (19- 3, 94.8)     6-17   
 504 H Immaculata             NJ    Grp-B   (12- 9, 88.9)     5- 7   
 508 H Edison                 NJ 4  North   ( 5-11, 66.5)    14- 2   
 510 A Old Bridge             NJ 4  North   (16- 2, 86.3)     9-13   
 515 H West Windsor-PB So     NJ 3  South   (12- 7, 83.7)     7- 6   
 520 A St Peter's Prep        NJ    Grp-A   (13- 7, 85.5)    12- 6   
 522 A Don Bosco Prep         NJ    Grp-A   (18- 3, 96.2)     5-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Old Bridge              6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.73
   403 A Lawrenceville           3-15     -12   -13           0.00
   404 A Edison                 13- 0      13    13           0.00
   410 A Bergen Catholic         3-13     -10   -13           0.00
   411 A East Brunswick          5- 4 2o    1     7    ---   -6.79
   416 H North Brunswick        18- 3      15    18           0.00
   418 A Monroe Township         8-13      -5    -4          -0.66
   419 H J.P. Stevens           17- 2      15    22           0.00
   421 H Bishop Guertin          9-13      -4   -15          n/a  
   424 A Mountain Lakes          5-15     -10   -11           0.00
   425 A South Brunswick        10- 8       2     0    +      2.63
   429 A Scotch Plains Fanwood   6-11      -5    -4          -0.28
   502 H Rutgers Prep            6-17     -11   -12           0.00
   504 H Immaculata              5- 7      -2    -6    ++     4.67
   508 H Edison                 14- 2      12    15           0.00
   510 A Old Bridge              9-13      -4    -6    +      2.73
   515 H West Windsor-PB So      7- 6       1    -1    +      2.46
   520 A St Peter's Prep        12- 6       6    -5    +++   11.86
   522 A Don Bosco Prep          5-12      -7   -16    +      3.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A East Brunswick          5- 4 2o    1     7    ---   -6.79

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Bishop Guertin          9-13      -4   -15    +++        
   520 A St Peter's Prep        12- 6       6    -5    +++   11.86
   401 A Old Bridge              6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.73
   504 H Immaculata              5- 7      -2    -6    ++     4.67
   425 A South Brunswick        10- 8       2     0    +      2.63
   510 A Old Bridge              9-13      -4    -6    +      2.73
   515 H West Windsor-PB So      7- 6       1    -1    +      2.46
   522 A Don Bosco Prep          5-12      -7   -16    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.93 Local Power Rank...........    80
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.55 Local SOS Rank.............    38
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    74
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   158
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    87
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/