Region = WA 2  Skagit           
   Nickname = A Flyers               Coach  =   Greg Hill             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.8007202    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 A Shorecrest             WA 2  Cascade ( 8- 5, 86.4)     9-12   
 316 H Friday Harbor          WA 2  Skagit  ( 4- 8, 83.4)    10-12   
 320 A Monroe                 WA 2  Cascade ( 1-13, 75.9)     7- 6   
 322 A Lynden                 WA 2  Skagit  ( 9- 7, 86.9)     3-13   
 329 A Stanwood               WA 2  Cascade (10- 5, 89.2)     5-10   
 403 A Wilsonville            OR    NoWest  ( 7-11, 82.3)     4-16   
 409 A Sehome-Ferndale        WA 2  Skagit  (12- 1, 95.2)     3- 9   
 412 H Port Angeles           WA 2  Olympic ( 1-11, 66.0)    19- 2   
 419 H Meadowdale             WA 2  Cascade ( 5- 9, 83.3)     3-14   
 423 H Stanwood               WA 2  Cascade (10- 5, 89.2)     7-11   
 425 A Friday Harbor          WA 2  Skagit  ( 4- 8, 83.4)     4-13   
 427 A Everett                WA 2  Cascade (10- 3, 96.0)     1-19   
 502 H Sehome-Ferndale        WA 2  Skagit  (12- 1, 95.2)     4-17   
 507 H Lynden                 WA 2  Skagit  ( 9- 7, 86.9)     6-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Shorecrest              9-12      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   316 H Friday Harbor          10-12      -2    -6    ++     4.83
   320 A Monroe                  7- 6       1     0           1.13
   322 A Lynden                  3-13     -10   -11           0.00
   329 A Stanwood                5-10      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   403 A Wilsonville             4-16     -12    -6          n/a  
   409 A Sehome-Ferndale         3- 9      -6   -19    ++     4.00
   412 H Port Angeles           19- 2      17    10           0.00
   419 H Meadowdale              3-14     -11    -6    -     -3.29
   423 H Stanwood                7-11      -4   -12    +++    6.00
   425 A Friday Harbor           4-13      -9    -7          -1.38
   427 A Everett                 1-19     -18   -20           0.00
   502 H Sehome-Ferndale         4-17     -13   -18           0.00
   507 H Lynden                  6-12      -6   -10    ++     4.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Wilsonville             4-16     -12    -6    -          
   419 H Meadowdale              3-14     -11    -6    -     -3.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Shorecrest              9-12      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   423 H Stanwood                7-11      -4   -12    +++    6.00
   316 H Friday Harbor          10-12      -2    -6    ++     4.83
   329 A Stanwood                5-10      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   409 A Sehome-Ferndale         3- 9      -6   -19    ++     4.00
   507 H Lynden                  6-12      -6   -10    ++     4.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.20 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.95 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    33
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -12.3
/