Region = NY C  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Black Knights        Coach  =   Mike Stevens          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.0427856    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A Erie Cathedral Prep    PA    Indep   ( 8-11, 81.8)    16- 8   
 409 A Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 78.7)    11-10   
 410 A St Francis             NY P  Sec 6   (10- 9, 85.2)    10- 7   
 411 A Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   (10- 5, 83.1)    17-11   
 417 A Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   ( 7-12, 81.8)    10- 1   
 418 H Medina                 NY C  Sec 6   (12- 6, 82.8)    22-11   
 423 A Lake Shore Central     NY C  Sec 6   ( 9- 7, 83.1)    22-13   
 425 H Amherst Central        NY C  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 77.6)    15- 7   
 430 A Gowanda Central        NY C  Sec 6   ( 0-12, 58.0)    18- 2   
 501 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (17- 2, 98.2)    11-17   
 502 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (11- 6, 83.8)    17-20   
 507 A Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   (15- 4, 88.4)    20-15   
 510 H Lew-Port               NY C  Sec 6   ( 3-14, 64.9)    19- 6   
 511 H Niagara Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 85.9)    16- 9   
 513 H Wilson Central         NY C  Sec 6   ( 2-15, 63.4)    15- 1   
 516 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 9, 84.5)    15-10   
 521 H Amherst Central        NY C  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 77.6)    14- 7   
 523 H Lake Shore Central     NY C  Sec 6   ( 9- 7, 83.1)    26-12   
 528 N Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   (15- 4, 88.4)    17-12   
 601 N Penn Yan               NY C  Sec 5   (15- 5, 98.0)     7-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Erie Cathedral Prep    16- 8       8     9          n/a  
   409 A Eden                   11-10       1    12    ---   -9.00
   410 A St Francis             10- 7       3     5    -     -2.96
   411 A Salamanca              17-11       6     8    -     -2.07
   417 A Nichols                10- 1       9     9          -0.39
   418 H Medina                 22-11      11     9           0.50
   423 A Lake Shore Central     22-13       9     8           0.97
   425 H Amherst Central        15- 7       8    14    -     -2.00
   430 A Gowanda Central        18- 2      16    33           0.00
   501 H Orchard Park           11-17      -6    -5          -0.09
   502 A East Aurora            17-20      -3     7    ---  -10.33
   507 A Akron                  20-15       5     2    +      2.20
   510 H Lew-Port               19- 6      13    27           0.00
   511 H Niagara Wheatfield     16- 9       7     6           0.57
   513 H Wilson Central         15- 1      14    28           0.00
   516 A Frontier               15-10       5     6          -1.71
   521 H Amherst Central        14- 7       7    14    -     -3.00
   523 H Lake Shore Central     26-12      14     9           0.80
   528 N Akron                  17-12       5     3           1.61
   601 N Penn Yan                7-11      -4    -6          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Eden                   11-10       1    12    ---   -9.00
   502 A East Aurora            17-20      -3     7    ---  -10.33
   410 A St Francis             10- 7       3     5    -     -2.96
   411 A Salamanca              17-11       6     8    -     -2.07
   425 H Amherst Central        15- 7       8    14    -     -2.00
   521 H Amherst Central        14- 7       7    14    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Akron                  20-15       5     2    +      2.20
   601 N Penn Yan                7-11      -4    -6    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.76 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.39 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.155.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0
/