Conf =  Fitch                     Region = NJ    Grp-A            
   Nickname = J Pirates              Coach  =   Dave Giarusso         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.8280106    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Chatham                NJ 2  North   (19- 5, 94.8)     6- 7 2o
 404 H Caldwell               NJ 1  North   (14- 6, 88.6)     6- 8   
 406 A Lawrenceville          NJ    Private (13- 7, 93.4)     9-17   
 409 A Mendham                NJ 3  North   ( 9-10, 86.1)     7- 5   
 411 H Delbarton              NJ    Grp-A   (17- 1, 99.9)     7- 8   
 417 H Summit                 NJ 2  North   (18- 3, 97.0)     5- 8   
 420 N St Augustine Prep      NJ    Grp-A   (12- 8, 90.0)     5- 9   
 425 A West Essex Regional    NJ 1  North   ( 8-11, 84.1)    14- 3   
 427 N Saint Ignatius Prep    CA    WCAL    (21- 1, 99.9)     5- 6  o
 429 A Westfield              NJ 4  North   (14- 6, 93.4)     7-10   
 502 A West Morris Central    NJ 3  North   (12-10, 87.6)    11- 7   
 504 H East Side-Newark       NJ 3  North   ( 1-18, 57.5)    14- 0   
 507 H Millburn               NJ 3  North   (14- 7, 86.8)    14- 1   
 509 A Glen Ridge             NJ 1  North   (11- 8, 88.1)    10- 9 2o
 511 N Caldwell               NJ 1  North   (14- 6, 88.6)     5- 4   
 516 H Moorestown             NJ 3  South   (16- 3, 95.7)    10- 7   
 521 H St John Vianney        NJ    Grp-A   ( 7-12, 71.8)    17- 1   
 523 A St Augustine Prep      NJ    Grp-A   (12- 8, 90.0)     8- 6   
 525 A Delbarton              NJ    Grp-A   (17- 1, 99.9)    10- 8   
 529 N Don Bosco Prep         NJ    Grp-A   (18- 3, 96.2)     8-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Chatham                 6- 7 2o   -1    -5    ++     4.74
   404 H Caldwell                6- 8      -2     3    --    -5.10
   406 A Lawrenceville           9-17      -8    -4    -     -3.66
   409 A Mendham                 7- 5       2     2          -0.97
   411 H Delbarton               7- 8      -1    -8    +++    7.17
   417 H Summit                  5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.23
   420 N St Augustine Prep       5- 9      -4     0    --    -4.40
   425 A West Essex Regional    14- 3      11     4    ++     5.05
   427 N Saint Ignatius Prep     5- 6  o   -1    -9          n/a  
   429 A Westfield               7-10      -3    -4           1.35
   502 A West Morris Central    11- 7       4     1    +      2.51
   504 H East Side-Newark       14- 0      14    34           0.00
   507 H Millburn               14- 1      13     4    ++     5.10
   509 A Glen Ridge             10- 9 2o    1     0           0.03
   511 N Caldwell                5- 4       1     1          -0.77
   516 H Moorestown             10- 7       3    -3    +++    6.95
   521 H St John Vianney        17- 1      16    19           0.00
   523 A St Augustine Prep       8- 6       2     0    +      2.93
   525 A Delbarton              10- 8       2   -10    +++   12.00
   529 N Don Bosco Prep          8-12      -4    -5           1.75

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Caldwell                6- 8      -2     3    --    -5.10
   420 N St Augustine Prep       5- 9      -4     0    --    -4.40
   406 A Lawrenceville           9-17      -8    -4    -     -3.66

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Delbarton               7- 8      -1    -8    +++    7.17
   427 N Saint Ignatius Prep     5- 6  o   -1    -9    +++        
   516 H Moorestown             10- 7       3    -3    +++    6.95
   525 A Delbarton              10- 8       2   -10    +++   12.00
   402 A Chatham                 6- 7 2o   -1    -5    ++     4.74
   425 A West Essex Regional    14- 3      11     4    ++     5.05
   507 H Millburn               14- 1      13     4    ++     5.10
   417 H Summit                  5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.23
   502 A West Morris Central    11- 7       4     1    +      2.51
   523 A St Augustine Prep       8- 6       2     0    +      2.93
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.41 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.37 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/