Conf =  D1                        Region = CA    SCCAL            
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Brian Ahlers          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   72.0434875    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 225 H Los Gatos              CA    SCVAL-D ( 6-10, 78.0)     4-18   
 228 A Saratoga               CA    SCVAL-E ( 5-13, 68.2)     6-13   
 306 A Carmel                 CA    MTAL    (12- 8, 75.7)     6-12   
 308 A Santa Cruz             CA    SCCAL   ( 0-10, 52.3)    14- 2   
 312 H Pacific Collegiate     CA    MTAL    (12- 4, 73.1)    11- 8   
 315 H Christopher            CA    MTAL    ( 0-15, 58.7)     6- 4   
 319 H Harbor                 CA    SCCAL   ( 5- 7, 62.0)    10- 7   
 322 A Aptos                  CA    SCCAL   (17- 2, 77.3)     6-16   
 326 A Pacific Collegiate     CA    MTAL    (12- 4, 73.1)     6- 8   
 329 A Soquel                 CA    SCCAL   ( 5- 6, 64.7)     5-13   
 415 H Soquel                 CA    SCCAL   ( 5- 6, 64.7)     9- 5   
 419 A Watsonville            CA    MTAL    ( 5-12, 60.6)    13-14  o
 423 A Harbor                 CA    SCCAL   ( 5- 7, 62.0)     4- 5   
 430 H Santa Cruz             CA    SCCAL   ( 0-10, 52.3)    16- 5   
 503 H Aptos                  CA    SCCAL   (17- 2, 77.3)     3-11   
 507 A Aptos                  CA    SCCAL   (17- 2, 77.3)     1-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Los Gatos               4-18     -14   -12           0.00
   228 A Saratoga                6-13      -7    -4    -     -2.17
   306 A Carmel                  6-12      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   308 A Santa Cruz             14- 2      12    11           0.00
   312 H Pacific Collegiate     11- 8       3    -7    +++   11.00
   315 H Christopher             6- 4       2     6    --    -4.40
   319 H Harbor                 10- 7       3     3          -0.05
   322 A Aptos                   6-16     -10   -13           0.00
   326 A Pacific Collegiate      6- 8      -2    -9    +++    7.70
   329 A Soquel                  5-13      -8    -1    ---   -6.63
   415 H Soquel                  9- 5       4     0    +      3.67
   419 A Watsonville            13-14  o   -1     2    -     -3.73
   423 A Harbor                  4- 5      -1     1    -     -2.35
   430 H Santa Cruz             16- 5      11    12           0.00
   503 H Aptos                   3-11      -8   -12    +      2.00
   507 A Aptos                   1-14     -13   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Soquel                  5-13      -8    -1    ---   -6.63
   315 H Christopher             6- 4       2     6    --    -4.40
   228 A Saratoga                6-13      -7    -4    -     -2.17
   419 A Watsonville            13-14  o   -1     2    -     -3.73
   423 A Harbor                  4- 5      -1     1    -     -2.35

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H Pacific Collegiate     11- 8       3    -7    +++   11.00
   326 A Pacific Collegiate      6- 8      -2    -9    +++    7.70
   306 A Carmel                  6-12      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   415 H Soquel                  9- 5       4     0    +      3.67
   503 H Aptos                   3-11      -8   -12    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 64.22 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 38.33 Local SOS Rank.............    30
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    25
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    27
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/